Thunder @ Mavericks
Tonight's plays are for members. Bet Data Labs is invite-only.
Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| OKC | 67% | 1.49 |
| DAL | 33% | 3.03 |
Total points
Market line 228.5: over 53% (1.90), under 47% (2.11).
Show every line and the range calculatorHide the ladders
Total points · market line 228.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 222.5 | 65% | 1.55 | 35% | 2.82 |
| 224.5 | 61% | 1.65 | 39% | 2.53 |
| 226.5 | 57% | 1.74 | 43% | 2.35 |
| 228.5 | 53% | 1.90 | 47% | 2.11 |
| 230.5 | 47% | 2.15 | 53% | 1.87 |
| 232.5 | 45% | 2.25 | 55% | 1.80 |
| 234.5 | 40% | 2.50 | 60% | 1.67 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 1.5 | 66% | 1.53 |
| OKC | 2.5 | 63% | 1.60 |
| OKC | 3.5 | 60% | 1.67 |
| OKC | 4.5 | 56% | 1.80 |
| DAL | 1.5 | 30% | 3.33 |
| DAL | 3.5 | 25% | 4.08 |
| DAL | 5.5 | 21% | 4.76 |
| DAL | 7.5 | 16% | 6.45 |
71% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.41: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 214.5 and under 254.5.
Injuries
From ESPN · refreshed every 30 minOKC
- Thomas SorberOUTOct 27: Sorber (knee) has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against the Mavericks.
- Chet HolmgrenOUTOct 27: Holmgren (knee) has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against the Mavericks.
- Nikola TopicOUTOct 27: Topic (back) will remain on the inactive list for Wednesday's game in Dallas.
- Alex CarusoOUTOct 27: Caruso (ankle) won't play Wednesday in Dallas.
- Jalen WilliamsOUTOct 26: Williams has been diagnosed with a dislocated left ankle and fractured fibula, which will require surgery, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
- Cason WallaceOUTOct 26: Wallace has been diagnosed with a torn labrum in his left shoulder and will require surgery, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
- Otega OwehOUTOct 23: The Thunder plan to waive Oweh (Achilles) on Friday.
- Ajay MitchellDTDOct 27: Mitchell (ankle) is questionable for Wednesday's game against Dallas.
DAL
- Santi AldamaOUTOct 27: The Mavericks recalled Aldama (knee) from the G League's Texas Legends on Tuesday.
- Tarik BiberovicOUTOct 27: Biberovic is listed as doubtful for Wednesday's game against the Thunder.
- Sergio de LarreaOUTOct 27: De Larrea (knee) has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against the Thunder.
- Caleb MartinOUTOct 27: Martin (thumb) is questionable for Wednesday's game against the Thunder.
- Dereck Lively IIOUTOct 22: Lively (foot) has been ruled out for Friday's game against the Pacers.
- Naji MarshallDTDOct 27: Marshall (illness) is questionable for Wednesday's game against the Thunder.
- Kyrie IrvingDTDOct 27: Irving (knee) is questionable for Wednesday's game against the Thunder.
First basket
All ten starters →Tip: Chet Holmgren vs Daniel Gafford
Matchup
This season, blended with last until 10 games · rank 1 = allows the fewestAllows 118.2 points a game, 20th fewest of 30
| Points to guards | 55.9 | 10th |
| Points to forwards | 47.1 | 27th |
| Points to centers | 15.2 | 13th |
| Rebounds to centers | 11.1 | 20th |
| Assists to guards | 17.2 | 28th |
| Threes to guards | 7.2 | 8th |
Allows 105.0 points a game, 1st fewest of 30
| Points to guards | 53.4 | 4th |
| Points to forwards | 38.8 | 6th |
| Points to centers | 12.9 | 4th |
| Rebounds to centers | 7.8 | 2nd |
| Assists to guards | 14.7 | 8th |
| Threes to guards | 7.7 | 15th |
Per game, by ESPN position group. A longer bar allows more. Points allowed carries pace and defense together.