Mavericks @ Heat
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Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| DAL | 24% | 4.08 |
| MIA | 76% | 1.32 |
Total points
Market line 237.5: over 49% (2.06), under 51% (1.94).
Show every line and the range calculatorHide the ladders
Total points · market line 237.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 231.5 | 61% | 1.64 | 39% | 2.56 |
| 233.5 | 56% | 1.80 | 44% | 2.25 |
| 235.5 | 54% | 1.85 | 46% | 2.17 |
| 237.5 | 49% | 2.06 | 51% | 1.94 |
| 239.5 | 45% | 2.25 | 55% | 1.80 |
| 241.5 | 40% | 2.50 | 60% | 1.67 |
| 243.5 | 37% | 2.74 | 63% | 1.57 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 1.5 | 72% | 1.40 |
| MIA | 2.5 | 69% | 1.46 |
| MIA | 3.5 | 67% | 1.50 |
| MIA | 4.5 | 63% | 1.60 |
| DAL | 1.5 | 25% | 4.08 |
| DAL | 2.5 | 23% | 4.35 |
| DAL | 4.5 | 17% | 6.06 |
| DAL | 6.5 | 13% | 8.00 |
72% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.39: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 219.5 and under 259.5.
Injuries
From ESPN · refreshed every 30 minDAL
- Caleb MartinOUTOct 25: Martin (thumb) is listed as doubtful for Monday's game against the Heat.
- Cooper FlaggOUTOct 25: Flagg (shoulder) is questionable to play Monday against the Heat.
- Naji MarshallOUTOct 25: Marshall (illness) has been ruled out for Monday's game against the Heat.
- Tarik BiberovicOUTOct 24: Biberovic (heel) has been ruled out for Saturday's game against San Antonio.
- Santi AldamaOUTOct 24: Aldama (knee) has been ruled out for Saturday's game against the Spurs.
- Dereck Lively IIOUTOct 22: Lively (foot) has been ruled out for Friday's game against the Pacers.
MIA
No reported absences.
Matchup
This season, blended with last until 10 games · rank 1 = allows the fewestAllows 120.6 points a game, 26th fewest of 30
| Points to guards | 65.0 | 30th |
| Points to forwards | 41.9 | 15th |
| Points to centers | 13.7 | 6th |
| Rebounds to centers | 10.5 | 16th |
| Assists to guards | 17.6 | 29th |
| Threes to guards | 9.3 | 30th |
Allows 119.0 points a game, 22nd fewest of 30
| Points to guards | 54.8 | 7th |
| Points to forwards | 46.4 | 27th |
| Points to centers | 17.8 | 22nd |
| Rebounds to centers | 11.9 | 27th |
| Assists to guards | 17.1 | 26th |
| Threes to guards | 6.8 | 4th |
Per game, by ESPN position group. A longer bar allows more. Points allowed carries pace and defense together.