NBA · 7:30 PM ET

Mavericks @ Heat

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Prediction markets

Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 min

Moneyline

Team	Wins	Fair price
DAL	26%	3.77
MIA	74%	1.36

Total points

Market line 235.5: over 51% (1.98), under 49% (2.02).

Show every line and the range calculator

Total points · market line 235.5

Line	Over	Fair	Under	Fair
229.5	62%	1.63	38%	2.60
231.5	58%	1.72	42%	2.38
233.5	55%	1.83	45%	2.20
235.5	51%	1.98	49%	2.02
237.5	46%	2.17	54%	1.85
239.5	43%	2.33	57%	1.75
241.5	39%	2.56	61%	1.64

Spread: wins by more than

Team	By	Chance	Fair
MIA	1.5	72%	1.40
MIA	2.5	69%	1.45
MIA	3.5	67%	1.50
MIA	4.5	64%	1.57
DAL	1.5	25%	4.00
DAL	2.5	24%	4.26
DAL	4.5	17%	5.88
DAL	6.5	13%	7.69

Range calculator

Total lands overand underpoints

72% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.40: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 219.5 and under 259.5.

Injuries

From ESPN · refreshed every 30 min

DAL

Out · 6

Caleb MartinOUT
Oct 25: Martin (thumb) is listed as doubtful for Monday's game against the Heat.
Cooper FlaggOUT
Oct 25: Flagg (shoulder) is questionable to play Monday against the Heat.
Naji MarshallOUT
Oct 25: Marshall (illness) has been ruled out for Monday's game against the Heat.
Tarik BiberovicOUT
Oct 24: Biberovic (heel) has been ruled out for Saturday's game against San Antonio.
Santi AldamaOUT
Oct 24: Aldama (knee) has been ruled out for Saturday's game against the Spurs.
Dereck Lively IIOUT
Oct 22: Lively (foot) has been ruled out for Friday's game against the Pacers.