Jaylen Brown
PHIvs
MIL
MILMIL allows4th-most pts+ast5th-most PRA
Points 21.5
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Members only
OPP
23rd
59.3/g
NBA · 7:30 PM ET
Bucks @ 76ers
Cards
11
Top Alpha Score
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PRESS
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Sharp source
Model
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Tonight's plays are for members. Bet Data Labs is invite-only.
Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| MIL | 15% | 6.45 |
| PHI | 85% | 1.18 |
Total points
Market line 234.5: over 48% (2.08), under 52% (1.92).
Show every line and the range calculatorHide the ladders
Total points · market line 234.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 228.5 | 57% | 1.74 | 43% | 2.35 |
| 230.5 | 56% | 1.77 | 44% | 2.30 |
| 232.5 | 54% | 1.87 | 46% | 2.15 |
| 234.5 | 48% | 2.08 | 52% | 1.92 |
| 236.5 | 44% | 2.30 | 56% | 1.77 |
| 238.5 | 40% | 2.53 | 60% | 1.65 |
| 240.5 | 35% | 2.90 | 65% | 1.53 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 1.5 | 83% | 1.21 |
| PHI | 2.5 | 80% | 1.25 |
| PHI | 4.5 | 76% | 1.32 |
| PHI | 6.5 | 70% | 1.44 |
| MIL | 1.5 | 14% | 7.41 |
| MIL | 3.5 | 11% | 9.52 |
| MIL | 5.5 | 8% | 12.50 |
| MIL | 7.5 | 5% | 20.00 |
Range calculator
Total lands overand underpoints
70% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.43: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 218.5 and under 256.5.
Injuries
From ESPN · refreshed every 30 minMIL
No reported absences.
PHI
Out · 3
- Tacko FallOUTOct 23: Fall (quadriceps) is out for Saturday's game against the Bucks.
- Dominick BarlowOUTOct 19: Barlow will miss at least the next two weeks of action due to a lumbar spine bone stress response, Adam Aaronson of PhillyVoice.com reports.
- Ariel HukportiOUTOct 6: Hukporti has sustained a season-ending ruptured right Achilles tendon, per Shams Charania of ESPN.
Questionable / DTD · 2
- Dean WadeDTDOct 23: Wade is listed as questionable for Saturday's game against the Bucks due to a left ankle sprain.
- LeBron JamesDTDOct 23: James (back) is questionable for Saturday's game against the Bucks.
First basket
All ten starters →Tip: Myles Turner vs Joel Embiid
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Matchup
This season, blended with last until 10 games · rank 1 = allows the fewestPHI defensevs MILAllows 113.5 points a game, 14th fewest of 30
| Points to guards | 59.7 | 24th |
| Points to forwards | 34.5 | 1st |
| Points to centers | 19.3 | 29th |
| Rebounds to centers | 12.8 | 30th |
| Assists to guards | 16.7 | 22nd |
| Threes to guards | 7.6 | 14th |
MIL defensevs PHIAllows 119.5 points a game, 23rd fewest of 30
| Points to guards | 59.3 | 23rd |
| Points to forwards | 47.0 | 29th |
| Points to centers | 13.1 | 2nd |
| Rebounds to centers | 8.8 | 4th |
| Assists to guards | 17.3 | 27th |
| Threes to guards | 7.9 | 20th |
Per game, by ESPN position group. A longer bar allows more. Points allowed carries pace and defense together.
