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NBA · 9:30 PM ET

Nuggets @ Thunder

Cards
47
Top Alpha Score
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PRESS
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Sharp source
Model
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Prediction markets

Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 min

Moneyline

TeamWinsFair price
DEN26%3.77
OKC74%1.36

Total points

Market line 234.5: over 53% (1.90), under 47% (2.11).

Show every line and the range calculator

Total points · market line 234.5

LineOverFairUnderFair
228.566%1.5234%2.94
230.563%1.6037%2.67
232.557%1.7443%2.35
234.553%1.9047%2.11
236.548%2.1152%1.90
238.544%2.3056%1.77
240.541%2.4759%1.68

Spread: wins by more than

TeamByChanceFair
OKC1.572%1.40
OKC2.569%1.45
OKC3.565%1.54
OKC4.562%1.63
DEN1.525%4.08
DEN2.522%4.44
DEN4.518%5.71
DEN6.514%7.41
Range calculator
Total lands overand underpoints

72% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.39: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 220.5 and under 260.5.

Injuries

From ESPN · refreshed every 30 min

DEN

Out · 1
  • Julian StrawtherOUT
    Oct 16: Strawther (knee) was diagnosed with a left knee sprain Friday and will be re-evaluated in six weeks, Vinny Benedetto of The Denver Gazette reports.
Questionable / DTD · 1
  • Spencer JonesDTD
    Oct 18: Jones (hamstring) participated in Sunday's practice, Adam Mares of TheDNVR.com reports.

OKC

Out · 1
  • Otega OwehOUT
    Oct 14: Oweh (Achilles) underwent surgery Wednesday and will miss the entirety of the 2026-27 season, Brandon Rahbar of DailyThunder.com reports.
Questionable / DTD · 2
  • Thomas SorberDTD
    Oct 21: Sorber (knee) won't play in Tuesday's season opener against the Spurs, Justin Martinez of The Oklahoman reports.
  • Nikola TopicDTD
    Oct 21: Topic (back) won't play in Tuesday's season opener against the Spurs, Justin Martinez of The Oklahoman reports.

First basket

All ten starters →

Tip: Nikola Jokic vs Chet Holmgren

Members only

Matchup

This season, blended with last until 10 games · rank 1 = allows the fewest
OKCOKC defensevs DEN

Allows 107.5 points a game, 1st fewest of 30

Points to guards54.6
2nd
Points to forwards40.5
12th
Points to centers12.4
1st
Rebounds to centers9.0
2nd
Assists to guards14.4
3rd
Threes to guards8.1
23rd
DENDEN defensevs OKC

Allows 116.9 points a game, 21st fewest of 30

Points to guards57.2
11th
Points to forwards44.4
28th
Points to centers15.3
7th
Rebounds to centers9.8
6th
Assists to guards16.0
15th
Threes to guards7.8
14th

Per game, by ESPN position group. A longer bar allows more. Points allowed carries pace and defense together.

Points

OKC

Jalen Williams

OKCvsDENDEN
Thu 9:30 PM ET
Points 19.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
11th
Matchup, no lean shown57.2/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
DEN

Jamal Murray

DEN@OKCOKC
Thu 9:30 PM ET
OKC allowsMatchup, no lean shown2nd-fewest pointsMatchup, no lean shown2nd-fewest pts+ast
Points 23.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
2nd
Matchup, no lean shown54.6/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
DEN

Nikola Jokic

DEN@OKCOKC
Thu 9:30 PM ET
OKC allowsMatchup, no lean shownfewest pointsMatchup, no lean shownfewest pts+reb
Points 27.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
1st
Matchup, no lean shown12.4/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
Show 1 more Points
OKC

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

OKCvsDENDEN
Thu 9:30 PM ET
Points 30.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
11th
Matchup, no lean shown57.2/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only

Rebounds

OKC

Jalen Williams

OKCvsDENDEN
Thu 9:30 PM ET
Rebounds 4.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
11th
Matchup, no lean shown15.8/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
DEN

Jamal Murray

DEN@OKCOKC
Thu 9:30 PM ET
OKC allowsMatchup, no lean shown3rd-fewest PRAMatchup, no lean shown5th-fewest pts+reb
Rebounds 3.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
18th
Matchup, no lean shown16.8/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
DEN

Nikola Jokic

DEN@OKCOKC
Thu 9:30 PM ET
OKC allowsMatchup, no lean shown2nd-fewest reboundsMatchup, no lean shownfewest pts+reb
Rebounds 12.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
2nd
Matchup, no lean shown9.0/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
Show 1 more Rebounds
OKC

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

OKCvsDENDEN
Thu 9:30 PM ET
Rebounds 3.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
11th
Matchup, no lean shown15.8/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only

Assists

OKC

Jalen Williams

OKCvsDENDEN
Thu 9:30 PM ET
Assists 4.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
15th
Matchup, no lean shown16.0/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
DEN

Jamal Murray

DEN@OKCOKC
Thu 9:30 PM ET
OKC allowsMatchup, no lean shown3rd-fewest assistsMatchup, no lean shown2nd-fewest pts+ast
Assists 6.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
3rd
Matchup, no lean shown14.4/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
DEN

Nikola Jokic

DEN@OKCOKC
Thu 9:30 PM ET
OKC allowsMatchup, no lean shownfewest assistsMatchup, no lean shownfewest pts+ast
Assists 10.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
1st
Matchup, no lean shown2.3/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
Show 1 more Assists
OKC

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

OKCvsDENDEN
Thu 9:30 PM ET
Assists 6.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
15th
Matchup, no lean shown16.0/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only

3-PT Made

OKC

Jalen Williams

OKCvsDENDEN
Thu 9:30 PM ET
3-PT Made 0.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
14th
Matchup, no lean shown7.8/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
DEN

Jamal Murray

DEN@OKCOKC
Thu 9:30 PM ET
OKC allowsMatchup, no lean shown2nd-fewest points
3-PT Made 2.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
23rd
Matchup, no lean shown8.1/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
DEN

Nikola Jokic

DEN@OKCOKC
Thu 9:30 PM ET
OKC allowsMatchup, no lean shownfewest points
3-PT Made 1.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
9th
Matchup, no lean shown0.8/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
Show 1 more 3-PT Made
OKC

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

OKCvsDENDEN
Thu 9:30 PM ET
3-PT Made 1.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
14th
Matchup, no lean shown7.8/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only

Double-Double

OKC

Jalen Williams

OKCvsDENDEN
Thu 9:30 PM ET
Double-Double 0.5
Members only
Members only
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
DEN

Jamal Murray

DEN@OKCOKC
Thu 9:30 PM ET
Double-Double 0.5
Members only
Members only
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
DEN

Nikola Jokic

DEN@OKCOKC
Thu 9:30 PM ET
Double-Double 0.5
Members only
Members only
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
Show 1 more Double-Double
OKC

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

OKCvsDENDEN
Thu 9:30 PM ET
Double-Double 0.5
Members only
Members only
Our side, price and scoreMembers only

Pts + Ast

OKC

Jalen Williams

OKCvsDENDEN
Thu 9:30 PM ET
Pts + Ast 23.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
10th
Matchup, no lean shown73.2/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
DEN

Jamal Murray

DEN@OKCOKC
Thu 9:30 PM ET
OKC allowsMatchup, no lean shown2nd-fewest pts+astMatchup, no lean shown2nd-fewest points
Pts + Ast 30.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
2nd
Matchup, no lean shown69.0/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
DEN

Nikola Jokic

DEN@OKCOKC
Thu 9:30 PM ET
OKC allowsMatchup, no lean shownfewest pts+astMatchup, no lean shownfewest points
Pts + Ast 37.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
1st
Matchup, no lean shown14.7/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
Show 1 more Pts + Ast
OKC

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

OKCvsDENDEN
Thu 9:30 PM ET
Pts + Ast 37.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
10th
Matchup, no lean shown73.2/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only

Pts + Reb

OKC

Jalen Williams

OKCvsDENDEN
Thu 9:30 PM ET
Pts + Reb 23.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
11th
Matchup, no lean shown73.1/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
DEN

Jamal Murray

DEN@OKCOKC
Thu 9:30 PM ET
OKC allowsMatchup, no lean shown5th-fewest pts+rebMatchup, no lean shown2nd-fewest points
Pts + Reb 27.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
5th
Matchup, no lean shown71.3/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
DEN

Nikola Jokic

DEN@OKCOKC
Thu 9:30 PM ET
OKC allowsMatchup, no lean shownfewest pts+rebMatchup, no lean shownfewest points
Pts + Reb 39.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
1st
Matchup, no lean shown21.4/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
Show 1 more Pts + Reb
OKC

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

OKCvsDENDEN
Thu 9:30 PM ET
Pts + Reb 34.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
11th
Matchup, no lean shown73.1/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only

Pts + Reb + Ast

OKC

Jalen Williams

OKCvsDENDEN
Thu 9:30 PM ET
Pts + Reb + Ast 28.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
11th
Matchup, no lean shown89.1/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
DEN

Jamal Murray

DEN@OKCOKC
Thu 9:30 PM ET
OKC allowsMatchup, no lean shown3rd-fewest PRAMatchup, no lean shown2nd-fewest points
Pts + Reb + Ast 35.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
3rd
Matchup, no lean shown85.8/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
DEN

Nikola Jokic

DEN@OKCOKC
Thu 9:30 PM ET
OKC allowsMatchup, no lean shownfewest PRAMatchup, no lean shownfewest points
Pts + Reb + Ast 50.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
1st
Matchup, no lean shown23.7/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
Show 1 more Pts + Reb + Ast
OKC

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

OKCvsDENDEN
Thu 9:30 PM ET
Pts + Reb + Ast 41.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
11th
Matchup, no lean shown89.1/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only

Reb + Ast

OKC

Jalen Williams

OKCvsDENDEN
Thu 9:30 PM ET
Reb + Ast 9.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
13th
Matchup, no lean shown31.8/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
DEN

Jamal Murray

DEN@OKCOKC
Thu 9:30 PM ET
OKC allowsMatchup, no lean shown3rd-fewest assists
Reb + Ast 10.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
8th
Matchup, no lean shown31.2/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
DEN

Nikola Jokic

DEN@OKCOKC
Thu 9:30 PM ET
OKC allowsMatchup, no lean shownfewest reb+astMatchup, no lean shownfewest assists
Reb + Ast 22.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
1st
Matchup, no lean shown11.3/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
Show 1 more Reb + Ast
OKC

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

OKCvsDENDEN
Thu 9:30 PM ET
Reb + Ast 10.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
13th
Matchup, no lean shown31.8/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only

Steals

OKC

Jalen Williams

OKCvsDENDEN
Thu 9:30 PM ET
DEN allowsMatchup, no lean shown6th-fewest steals
Steals 1.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
6th
Matchup, no lean shown4.2/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
DEN

Jamal Murray

DEN@OKCOKC
Thu 9:30 PM ET
OKC allowsMatchup, no lean shown2nd-fewest stealsMatchup, no lean shown2nd-fewest stl+blk
Steals 0.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
2nd
Matchup, no lean shown3.6/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
DEN

Nikola Jokic

DEN@OKCOKC
Thu 9:30 PM ET
OKC allowsMatchup, no lean shown2nd-fewest stealsMatchup, no lean shownfewest stl+blk
Steals 1.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
2nd
Matchup, no lean shown0.7/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
Show 1 more Steals
OKC

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

OKCvsDENDEN
Thu 9:30 PM ET
DEN allowsMatchup, no lean shown6th-fewest steals
Steals 1.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
6th
Matchup, no lean shown4.2/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only

Triple-Double

DEN

Jamal Murray

DEN@OKCOKC
Thu 9:30 PM ET
Triple-Double 0.5
Members only
Members only
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
DEN

Nikola Jokic

DEN@OKCOKC
Thu 9:30 PM ET
Triple-Double 0.5
Members only
Members only
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
OKC

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

OKCvsDENDEN
Thu 9:30 PM ET
Triple-Double 0.5
Members only
Members only
Our side, price and scoreMembers only

Blocks

DEN

Nikola Jokic

DEN@OKCOKC
Thu 9:30 PM ET
OKC allowsMatchup, no lean shown2nd-fewest blocksMatchup, no lean shownfewest stl+blk
Blocks 0.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
2nd
Matchup, no lean shown1.1/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
OKC

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

OKCvsDENDEN
Thu 9:30 PM ET
Blocks 0.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
20th
Matchup, no lean shown1.6/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only

Blocks + Steals

DEN

Nikola Jokic

DEN@OKCOKC
Thu 9:30 PM ET
OKC allowsMatchup, no lean shownfewest stl+blkMatchup, no lean shown2nd-fewest steals
Blocks + Steals 2.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
1st
Matchup, no lean shown1.8/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only
OKC

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

OKCvsDENDEN
Thu 9:30 PM ET
DEN allowsMatchup, no lean shown6th-fewest steals
Blocks + Steals 2.5
Members only
Members only
OPP
9th
Matchup, no lean shown5.8/g
Our side, price and scoreMembers only

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