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Nuggets @ Thunder

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Prediction markets

Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 min

Moneyline

Team	Wins	Fair price
DEN	26%	3.77
OKC	74%	1.36

Total points

Market line 234.5: over 53% (1.90), under 47% (2.11).

Show every line and the range calculator

Total points · market line 234.5

Line	Over	Fair	Under	Fair
228.5	66%	1.52	34%	2.94
230.5	63%	1.60	37%	2.67
232.5	57%	1.74	43%	2.35
234.5	53%	1.90	47%	2.11
236.5	48%	2.11	52%	1.90
238.5	44%	2.30	56%	1.77
240.5	41%	2.47	59%	1.68

Spread: wins by more than

Team	By	Chance	Fair
OKC	1.5	72%	1.40
OKC	2.5	69%	1.45
OKC	3.5	65%	1.54
OKC	4.5	62%	1.63
DEN	1.5	25%	4.08
DEN	2.5	22%	4.44
DEN	4.5	18%	5.71
DEN	6.5	14%	7.41

Range calculator

Total lands overand underpoints

72% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.39: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 220.5 and under 260.5.

Injuries

From ESPN · refreshed every 30 min

DEN

Out · 1

Julian StrawtherOUT
Oct 16: Strawther (knee) was diagnosed with a left knee sprain Friday and will be re-evaluated in six weeks, Vinny Benedetto of The Denver Gazette reports.

Questionable / DTD · 1

Spencer JonesDTD
Oct 18: Jones (hamstring) participated in Sunday's practice, Adam Mares of TheDNVR.com reports.

OKC

Out · 1

Otega OwehOUT
Oct 14: Oweh (Achilles) underwent surgery Wednesday and will miss the entirety of the 2026-27 season, Brandon Rahbar of DailyThunder.com reports.

Questionable / DTD · 2

Thomas SorberDTD
Oct 21: Sorber (knee) won't play in Tuesday's season opener against the Spurs, Justin Martinez of The Oklahoman reports.
Nikola TopicDTD
Oct 21: Topic (back) won't play in Tuesday's season opener against the Spurs, Justin Martinez of The Oklahoman reports.