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Rays @ Brewers

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Prediction markets

Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 min

Moneyline

Team	Wins	Fair price
TB	45%	2.20
MIL	55%	1.83

Total runs

Market line 6.5: over 51% (1.96), under 49% (2.04).

Show every line and the range calculator

Total runs · market line 6.5

Line	Over	Fair	Under	Fair
3.5	83%	1.21	17%	5.71
4.5	74%	1.35	26%	3.85
5.5	59%	1.69	41%	2.44
6.5	51%	1.96	49%	2.04
7.5	39%	2.60	61%	1.63
8.5	31%	3.28	69%	1.44
9.5	22%	4.44	78%	1.29

Spread: wins by more than

Team	By	Chance	Fair
MIL	1.5	34%	2.94
MIL	2.5	23%	4.35
MIL	3.5	16%	6.45
TB	1.5	33%	3.03
TB	2.5	23%	4.35
TB	3.5	15%	6.67

Range calculator

Total lands overand underruns

66% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.53: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 3.5 and under 10.5.

Injuries

From ESPN · refreshed every 30 min

TB

Out · 1

Shane McClanahanOUT
Oct 11: McClanahan (forearm) won't be available to pitch during the rest of the postseason, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.

Other · 5Show

Jacob Melton?
Sep 15: The Rays recalled Melton from Triple-A Durham and placed him on the 60-day injured list Tuesday due to a right hamstring strain.
Gavin Lux?
Sep 11: Lux (shoulder) has resumed full baseball activity, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
Edwin Uceta?
Aug 14: Uceta (shoulder) is playing catch from 75 feet, per MLB.com.
Jonathan Heasley?
Jun 8: Heasley was returned to the major-league roster and placed on the 15-day injured list Tuesday with a right elbow stress reaction.
Ryan Pepiot?
May 8: Pepiot will undergo surgery on his right hip May 13 and miss the rest of the 2026 season, Ryan Bass of Rays.tv reports.

MIL

Other · 3Show

Brian Fitzpatrick?
Jul 4: Fitzpatrick (elbow) underwent Tommy John surgery over the past week, Curt Hogg of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
Quinn Priester?
Jun 18: Priester will undergo thoracic outlet compression surgery on Monday and is expected to be sidelined 8-to-10 months, Curt Hogg of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
Angel Zerpa?
May 31: The Brewers transferred Zerpa (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Sunday.