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Rays @ Brewers

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Prediction markets

Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 min

Moneyline

Team	Wins	Fair price
TB	40%	2.47
MIL	60%	1.68

Total runs

Market line 6.5: over 47% (2.15), under 53% (1.87).

Show every line and the range calculator

Total runs · market line 6.5

Line	Over	Fair	Under	Fair
3.5	79%	1.27	21%	4.76
4.5	71%	1.42	29%	3.39
5.5	56%	1.77	44%	2.30
6.5	47%	2.15	53%	1.87
7.5	34%	2.99	66%	1.50
8.5	27%	3.77	73%	1.36
9.5	18%	5.71	82%	1.21

Spread: wins by more than

Team	By	Chance	Fair
MIL	1.5	39%	2.60
MIL	2.5	27%	3.77
MIL	3.5	18%	5.56
TB	1.5	28%	3.64
TB	2.5	19%	5.41
TB	3.5	12%	8.70

Range calculator

Total lands overand underruns

76% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.32: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 2.5 and under 10.5.

Injuries

From ESPN · refreshed every 30 min

TB

Out · 1

Shane McClanahanOUT
Oct 11: McClanahan (forearm) won't be available to pitch during the rest of the postseason, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.

Other · 5Show

Jacob Melton?
Sep 15: The Rays recalled Melton from Triple-A Durham and placed him on the 60-day injured list Tuesday due to a right hamstring strain.
Gavin Lux?
Sep 11: Lux (shoulder) has resumed full baseball activity, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
Edwin Uceta?
Aug 14: Uceta (shoulder) is playing catch from 75 feet, per MLB.com.
Jonathan Heasley?
Jun 8: Heasley was returned to the major-league roster and placed on the 15-day injured list Tuesday with a right elbow stress reaction.
Ryan Pepiot?
May 8: Pepiot will undergo surgery on his right hip May 13 and miss the rest of the 2026 season, Ryan Bass of Rays.tv reports.

MIL

Other · 5Show

Brandon Woodruff?
Oct 20: The Brewers are unlikely to add Woodruff (shoulder) to their roster for the World Series, Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports.
Grant Anderson?
Sep 15: Anderson (biceps) will begin a rehab assignment Wednesday, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.
Brian Fitzpatrick?
Jul 4: Fitzpatrick (elbow) underwent Tommy John surgery over the past week, Curt Hogg of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
Quinn Priester?
Jun 18: Priester will undergo thoracic outlet compression surgery on Monday and is expected to be sidelined 8-to-10 months, Curt Hogg of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
Angel Zerpa?
May 31: The Brewers transferred Zerpa (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Sunday.