Brice Turang
MILvs
TB
Hits 0.5
Members only
Members only
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| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| TB | 40% | 2.47 |
| MIL | 60% | 1.68 |
Market line 6.5: over 47% (2.15), under 53% (1.87).
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 79% | 1.27 | 21% | 4.76 |
| 4.5 | 71% | 1.42 | 29% | 3.39 |
| 5.5 | 56% | 1.77 | 44% | 2.30 |
| 6.5 | 47% | 2.15 | 53% | 1.87 |
| 7.5 | 34% | 2.99 | 66% | 1.50 |
| 8.5 | 27% | 3.77 | 73% | 1.36 |
| 9.5 | 18% | 5.71 | 82% | 1.21 |
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 1.5 | 39% | 2.60 |
| MIL | 2.5 | 27% | 3.77 |
| MIL | 3.5 | 18% | 5.56 |
| TB | 1.5 | 28% | 3.64 |
| TB | 2.5 | 18% | 5.56 |
| TB | 3.5 | 12% | 8.70 |
76% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.32: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 2.5 and under 10.5.
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