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Panthers @ Penguins

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Prediction markets

Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 min

Moneyline

Team	Wins	Fair price
FLA	48%	2.06
PIT	52%	1.94

Total goals

Market line 6.5: over 56% (1.80), under 44% (2.25).

Show every line and the range calculator

Total goals · market line 6.5

Line	Over	Fair	Under	Fair
3.5	91%	1.10	9%	11.11
4.5	85%	1.18	15%	6.67
5.5	67%	1.49	33%	3.03
6.5	56%	1.80	44%	2.25
7.5	36%	2.82	64%	1.55
8.5	26%	3.85	74%	1.35
9.5	14%	7.41	86%	1.16

Spread: wins by more than

Team	By	Chance	Fair
PIT	1.5	31%	3.23
PIT	2.5	22%	4.65
FLA	1.5	29%	3.45
FLA	2.5	19%	5.26

Range calculator

Total lands overand undergoals

72% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.40: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 4.5 and under 9.5.

Injuries

From ESPN · refreshed every 30 min

FLA

Other · 4Show

Jacob Markstrom?
Oct 20: ir
Brad Marchand?
Oct 12: ir
Aleksander Barkov?
Oct 6: Barkov (lower body) will be out for approximately 6-8 weeks, Jameson Olive of the Panthers' official site reports Tuesday.
Jonah Gadjovich?
Sep 17: Gadjovich (upper body) is out indefinitely, the team announced Thursday.

PIT

Out · 1

Ben KindelOUT
Oct 20: out

Questionable / DTD · 2

Bryan RustDTD
Oct 20: day-to-day
Samuel GirardDTD
Oct 20: day-to-day

Other · 3Show

Trevor van Riemsdyk?
Oct 12: ir
Justin Brazeau?
Sep 27: Brazeau (lower body) was placed on injured reserve by the Penguins on Sunday.
Ryan Graves?
Sep 27: Graves (lower body) is out indefinitely and was placed on injured reserve Sunday.