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Rangers @ Maple Leafs

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Prediction markets

Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 min

Moneyline

Team	Wins	Fair price
NYR	51%	1.94
TOR	49%	2.06

Total goals

Market line 6.5: over 49% (2.04), under 51% (1.96).

Show every line and the range calculator

Total goals · market line 6.5

Line	Over	Fair	Under	Fair
3.5	89%	1.13	11%	8.70
4.5	81%	1.23	19%	5.26
5.5	60%	1.67	40%	2.50
6.5	49%	2.04	51%	1.96
7.5	28%	3.57	72%	1.39
8.5	21%	4.76	79%	1.27
9.5	9%	11.11	91%	1.10

Spread: wins by more than

Team	By	Chance	Fair
NYR	1.5	30%	3.39
NYR	2.5	19%	5.26
TOR	1.5	29%	3.51
TOR	2.5	19%	5.26

Range calculator

Total lands overand undergoals

72% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.39: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 4.5 and under 9.5.

Injuries

From ESPN · refreshed every 30 min

NYR

Other · 5Show

Igor Shesterkin?
Oct 11: Shesterkin will require surgery and a lengthy rehab process to address his season-ending right knee injury, Vince Z. Mercogliano of The Athletic reports Sunday.
Joe Veleno?
Oct 10: Veleno (lower body) was placed on long-term injured reserve Saturday, Vince Z. Mercogliano of The Athletic reports.
Joonas Korpisalo?
Oct 10: Korpisalo (lower body) will miss at least four more weeks, per Elliotte Friedman of Sportsnet on Saturday.
Aidan Thompson?
Sep 29: ir-nr
Adam Sykora?
Sep 28: ir

TOR

Questionable / DTD · 1

Jake McCabeDTD
Oct 20: day-to-day

Other · 8Show

John Tavares?
Oct 17: ir
Dakota Joshua?
Oct 17: Joshua (abdomen) was sent to AHL Toronto on Friday for a conditioning stint.
Miles Wood?
Oct 15: ir
Chris Tanev?
Oct 15: The Maple Leafs announced Thursday that Tanev (lower body) is considered week-to-week, Mark Masters of TSN reports.
Max Domi?
Sep 30: Domi (back) was transferred from the non-roster list to long-term injured reserve Wednesday, per PuckPedia.
Cade Webber?
Sep 29: ir-nr
Elvis Merzlikins?
Sep 29: Merzlikins is expected to miss 4-6 months to begin the 2026-27 regular season while recovering from a shoulder injury, per Luke Fox of Sportsnet.
William Villeneuve?
Sep 29: ir-nr