Kirk Cousins
LVvs
BUF
LEAN
Sun 4:25 PM ETPassing TDs 1.5
DK
1.67
-149
flat11 pulls
OVER
1.5
UNDER
1.5
62%
win
+4.1pp
L5
80%
4/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
47%
7/15
SZN
47%
7/15
H2H
-
ACC
-
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| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| BUF | 68% | 1.48 |
| LV | 33% | 3.08 |
Market line 53.5: over 50% (2.02), under 51% (1.98).
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.5 | 61% | 1.65 | 40% | 2.53 |
| 51.5 | 56% | 1.77 | 44% | 2.30 |
| 52.5 | 54% | 1.87 | 47% | 2.15 |
| 53.5 | 50% | 2.02 | 51% | 1.98 |
| 54.5 | 46% | 2.17 | 54% | 1.85 |
| 55.5 | 42% | 2.41 | 59% | 1.71 |
| 56.5 | 41% | 2.44 | 59% | 1.69 |
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 1.5 | 65% | 1.55 |
| BUF | 2.5 | 63% | 1.60 |
| BUF | 3.5 | 54% | 1.87 |
| BUF | 4.5 | 51% | 1.98 |
| LV | 1.5 | 30% | 3.39 |
| LV | 2.5 | 28% | 3.64 |
| LV | 3.5 | 21% | 4.88 |
| LV | 4.5 | 19% | 5.41 |
72% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.39: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 41.5 and under 71.5.
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