Adam Parks
WMU · 1 market
CFB · 12:00 PM ET
W Michigan @ Toledo
Cards
21
Top Alpha Score
Members only
PRESS
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Sharp source
Model
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Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| WMU | 41% | 2.41 |
| TOL | 59% | 1.71 |
Total points
Market line 47.5: over 49% (2.06), under 51% (1.94).
Show every line and the range calculatorHide the ladders
Total points · market line 47.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.5 | 59% | 1.71 | 41% | 2.41 |
| 45.5 | 56% | 1.80 | 44% | 2.25 |
| 46.5 | 53% | 1.90 | 47% | 2.11 |
| 47.5 | 49% | 2.06 | 51% | 1.94 |
| 48.5 | 47% | 2.15 | 53% | 1.87 |
| 51.5 | 38% | 2.63 | 62% | 1.61 |
| 54.5 | 32% | 3.17 | 68% | 1.46 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | 1.5 | 57% | 1.74 |
| TOL | 2.5 | 56% | 1.79 |
| TOL | 3.5 | 47% | 2.15 |
| TOL | 4.5 | 44% | 2.30 |
| WMU | 1.5 | 37% | 2.74 |
| WMU | 2.5 | 35% | 2.90 |
| WMU | 3.5 | 30% | 3.33 |
| WMU | 4.5 | 27% | 3.70 |
Range calculator
Total lands overand underpoints
72% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.40: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 33.5 and under 66.5.
WMU12 players · 12 cards
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