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CFB · 10:00 PM ET

N Dakota St @ New Mexico

Cards
24
Top Alpha Score
Members only
PRESS
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Sharp source
Model
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Prediction markets

Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 min

Moneyline

TeamWinsFair price
NDSU35%2.82
UNM65%1.55

Total points

Market line 40.5: over 50% (2.02), under 50% (1.98).

Show every line and the range calculator

Total points · market line 40.5

LineOverFairUnderFair
31.575%1.3425%3.92
34.568%1.4832%3.08
37.559%1.7141%2.41
40.550%2.0250%1.98
43.541%2.4759%1.68
44.538%2.6762%1.60
45.535%2.9065%1.53

Spread: wins by more than

TeamByChanceFair
UNM1.563%1.60
UNM2.561%1.65
UNM3.553%1.90
UNM4.550%2.02
NDSU1.534%2.99
NDSU2.532%3.13
NDSU3.527%3.77
NDSU4.524%4.26
Range calculator
Total lands overand underpoints

74% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.35: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 28.5 and under 61.5.

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