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CFB · 3:30 PM ET

Michigan St @ UCLA

Cards
31
Top Alpha Score
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PRESS
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Sharp source
Model
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Prediction markets

Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 min

Moneyline

TeamWinsFair price
MSU14%6.90
UCLA86%1.17

Total points

Market line 42.5: over 54% (1.85), under 46% (2.17).

Show every line and the range calculator

Total points · market line 42.5

LineOverFairUnderFair
33.578%1.2822%4.55
36.572%1.4028%3.51
39.563%1.6037%2.67
42.554%1.8546%2.17
45.544%2.3056%1.77
46.542%2.4158%1.71
47.539%2.5661%1.64

Spread: wins by more than

TeamByChanceFair
UCLA1.585%1.18
UCLA2.583%1.20
UCLA3.579%1.27
UCLA4.576%1.32
MSU1.513%7.69
MSU2.512%8.33
MSU3.59%11.11
MSU4.57%14.29
Range calculator
Total lands overand underpoints

75% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.33: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 30.5 and under 63.5.

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