Addison Ostrenga
IOWA@MINN
Anytime TD 0.5
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CFB · 3:30 PM ET
Iowa @ Minnesota
Cards
37
Top Alpha Score
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PRESS
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Sharp source
Model
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Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| IOWA | 70% | 1.42 |
| MINN | 30% | 3.39 |
Total points
Market line 40.5: over 52% (1.94), under 48% (2.06).
Show every line and the range calculatorHide the ladders
Total points · market line 40.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33.5 | 71% | 1.42 | 29% | 3.39 |
| 36.5 | 63% | 1.59 | 37% | 2.70 |
| 39.5 | 54% | 1.85 | 46% | 2.17 |
| 40.5 | 52% | 1.94 | 48% | 2.06 |
| 41.5 | 47% | 2.15 | 53% | 1.87 |
| 42.5 | 44% | 2.27 | 56% | 1.79 |
| 43.5 | 42% | 2.41 | 58% | 1.71 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA | 1.5 | 70% | 1.44 |
| IOWA | 2.5 | 67% | 1.50 |
| IOWA | 3.5 | 60% | 1.67 |
| IOWA | 4.5 | 57% | 1.74 |
| MINN | 1.5 | 28% | 3.64 |
| MINN | 2.5 | 26% | 3.85 |
| MINN | 3.5 | 20% | 5.00 |
| MINN | 4.5 | 19% | 5.26 |
Range calculator
Total lands overand underpoints
74% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.35: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 27.5 and under 60.5.
Anytime TD
Braeden Jackson
IOWA@MINN
Anytime TD 0.5
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Darius Taylor
MINNvsIOWA
Anytime TD 0.5
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Drake Lindsey
MINNvsIOWA
Anytime TD 0.5
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Evan James
IOWA@MINN
Anytime TD 0.5
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Jalen Smith
MINNvsIOWA
Anytime TD 0.5
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Jarriett Buie
IOWA@MINN
Anytime TD 0.5
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Javon Tracy
MINNvsIOWA
Anytime TD 0.5
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Jeremy Hecklinski
IOWA@MINN
Anytime TD 0.5
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Kamari Moulton
IOWA@MINN
Anytime TD 0.5
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L.J. Phillips Jr.
IOWA@MINN
Anytime TD 0.5
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Nathan McNeil
IOWA@MINN
Anytime TD 0.5
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Noah Jennings
MINNvsIOWA
Anytime TD 0.5
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Reece Vander Zee
IOWA@MINN
Anytime TD 0.5
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TJ Thomas
MINNvsIOWA
Anytime TD 0.5
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Tony Diaz
IOWA@MINN
Anytime TD 0.5
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Xavier Ford
MINNvsIOWA
Anytime TD 0.5
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Zach Ortwerth
IOWA@MINN
Anytime TD 0.5
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