Aaron Gregory
TA&M · 1 market
CFB · 3:30 PM ET
Texas A&M @ Alabama
Cards
35
Top Alpha Score
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PRESS
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Sharp source
Model
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Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| TA&M | 16% | 6.06 |
| ALA | 84% | 1.20 |
Total points
Market line 50.5: over 49% (2.06), under 51% (1.94).
Show every line and the range calculatorHide the ladders
Total points · market line 50.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.5 | 68% | 1.47 | 32% | 3.12 |
| 46.5 | 60% | 1.67 | 40% | 2.50 |
| 49.5 | 53% | 1.90 | 47% | 2.11 |
| 50.5 | 49% | 2.06 | 51% | 1.94 |
| 51.5 | 46% | 2.17 | 54% | 1.85 |
| 52.5 | 44% | 2.30 | 56% | 1.77 |
| 53.5 | 41% | 2.47 | 59% | 1.68 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALA | 1.5 | 82% | 1.23 |
| ALA | 2.5 | 80% | 1.26 |
| ALA | 3.5 | 76% | 1.32 |
| ALA | 4.5 | 73% | 1.37 |
| TA&M | 1.5 | 16% | 6.45 |
| TA&M | 2.5 | 15% | 6.90 |
| TA&M | 3.5 | 11% | 9.09 |
| TA&M | 4.5 | 10% | 10.53 |
Range calculator
Total lands overand underpoints
71% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.42: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 37.5 and under 70.5.
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