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Prediction markets

Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 min

Moneyline

Team	Wins	Fair price
SA	84%	1.18
UTAH	16%	6.45

Total points

Market line 234.5: over 48% (2.08), under 52% (1.92).

Show every line and the range calculator

Total points · market line 234.5

Line	Over	Fair	Under	Fair
228.5	61%	1.65	39%	2.53
230.5	56%	1.79	44%	2.27
232.5	53%	1.90	47%	2.11
234.5	48%	2.08	52%	1.92
236.5	43%	2.33	57%	1.75
238.5	40%	2.53	60%	1.65
240.5	36%	2.82	64%	1.55

Spread: wins by more than

Team	By	Chance	Fair
SA	1.5	81%	1.23
SA	3.5	77%	1.31
SA	5.5	72%	1.39
SA	6.5	70%	1.44
UTAH	1.5	14%	7.14
UTAH	2.5	13%	7.69
UTAH	4.5	10%	10.53
UTAH	6.5	7%	14.29

Range calculator

Total lands overand underpoints

72% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.39: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 218.5 and under 258.5.

Injuries

From ESPN · refreshed every 30 min

SA

Out · 2

Tobias HarrisOUT
Oct 26: Harris (calf) has been ruled out for Tuesday's game against the Kings.
Jayden QuaintanceOUT
Oct 5: Quaintance has been around the team but has not yet been cleared for basketball activities, Matt Guzman of SI.com reports.

UTAH

Out · 3

Jaren Jackson Jr.OUT
Oct 27: Jackson has been diagnosed with a torn MCL in his right knee and will be sidelined for 6-to-8 weeks, per Shams Charania of ESPN.
Trey AlexanderOUT
Oct 24: Alexander won't play Wednesday against the Grizzlies due to a left knee bone bruise.
Jusuf NurkicOUT
Oct 7: Nurkic will miss at least the next four weeks due to a partial plantar plate tear of second toe in right foot, Chris Haynes of NBA TV reports.

Questionable / DTD · 2

Jaxson HayesDTD
Oct 27: Hayes (shoulder) is listed as questionable for Wednesday's game against the Spurs.
Lauri MarkkanenDTD
Oct 27: Markkanen (wrist) is questionable for Wednesday's game against the Spurs.

First basket

All ten starters →

Tip: Victor Wembanyama vs Jaxson Hayes

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Matchup

This season, blended with last until 10 games · rank 1 = allows the fewest

UTAH defensevs SA

Allows 124.0 points a game, 29th fewest of 30

Points to guards	64.3	30th
Points to forwards	43.6	20th
Points to centers	16.1	16th
Rebounds to centers	10.2	14th
Assists to guards	16.4	22nd
Threes to guards	8.7	29th