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Nuggets @ Pelicans

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Prediction markets

Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 min

Moneyline

Team	Wins	Fair price
DEN	64%	1.55
NO	36%	2.82

Total points

Market line 239.5: over 53% (1.90), under 47% (2.11).

Show every line and the range calculator

Total points · market line 239.5

Line	Over	Fair	Under	Fair
233.5	66%	1.53	34%	2.90
235.5	62%	1.63	38%	2.60
237.5	58%	1.72	42%	2.38
239.5	53%	1.90	47%	2.11
241.5	48%	2.11	52%	1.90
243.5	44%	2.30	56%	1.77
245.5	40%	2.50	60%	1.67

Spread: wins by more than

Team	By	Chance	Fair
DEN	1.5	63%	1.60
DEN	2.5	59%	1.69
DEN	3.5	55%	1.83
DEN	4.5	52%	1.94
NO	1.5	32%	3.13
NO	2.5	30%	3.39
NO	4.5	26%	3.92
NO	6.5	19%	5.26

Range calculator

Total lands overand underpoints

72% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.39: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 225.5 and under 265.5.

Injuries

From ESPN · refreshed every 30 min

DEN

Out · 3

Spencer JonesOUT
Oct 27: Jones (hamstring) has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against New Orleans.
Alpha DialloOUT
Oct 27: Diallo is out for Wednesday's game against the Pelicans due to personal reasons.
Julian StrawtherOUT
Oct 16: Strawther (knee) was diagnosed with a left knee sprain Friday and will be re-evaluated in six weeks, Vinny Benedetto of The Denver Gazette reports.

Questionable / DTD · 1

Cameron JohnsonDTD
Oct 27: Johnson (ankle) is doubtful to face the Pelicans on Wednesday.

NO

Out · 1

Yves MissiOUT
Oct 24: Missi has been diagnosed with a left knee bone bruise and he will miss an extended period of time, Brett Siegel of ClutchPoints.com reports.

Questionable / DTD · 1

Jordan PooleDTD
Oct 27: Poole (illness) is listed as probable for Wednesday's game against Denver.

First basket

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Tip: Nikola Jokic vs Zion Williamson

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Matchup

This season, blended with last until 10 games · rank 1 = allows the fewest

NO defensevs DEN

Allows 122.4 points a game, 27th fewest of 30

Points to guards	59.1	18th
Points to forwards	43.7	21st
Points to centers	19.6	28th
Rebounds to centers	11.8	26th
Assists to guards	17.0	26th
Threes to guards	7.5	10th

DEN defensevs NO

Allows 118.3 points a game, 22nd fewest of 30

Points to guards	59.9	21st
Points to forwards	42.1	16th
Points to centers	16.4	18th
Rebounds to centers	11.6	23rd
Assists to guards	16.4	21st
Threes to guards	8.3	26th