Warriors @ Timberwolves
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Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| GS | 40% | 2.47 |
| MIN | 60% | 1.68 |
Total points
Market line 229.5: over 50% (2.02), under 50% (1.98).
Show every line and the range calculatorHide the ladders
Total points · market line 229.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 223.5 | 62% | 1.63 | 38% | 2.60 |
| 225.5 | 57% | 1.74 | 43% | 2.35 |
| 227.5 | 54% | 1.87 | 46% | 2.15 |
| 229.5 | 50% | 2.02 | 50% | 1.98 |
| 231.5 | 45% | 2.25 | 55% | 1.80 |
| 233.5 | 40% | 2.50 | 60% | 1.67 |
| 235.5 | 33% | 3.03 | 67% | 1.49 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 1.5 | 57% | 1.75 |
| MIN | 2.5 | 54% | 1.85 |
| MIN | 3.5 | 50% | 2.02 |
| MIN | 4.5 | 46% | 2.17 |
| GS | 1.5 | 39% | 2.60 |
| GS | 2.5 | 35% | 2.90 |
| GS | 4.5 | 30% | 3.33 |
| GS | 6.5 | 24% | 4.26 |
70% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.43: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 213.5 and under 253.5.
Injuries
From ESPN · refreshed every 30 minGS
- Kristaps PorzingisOUTOct 21: Porzingis is contemplating his future in basketball as he deals with recurring symptoms from the autoimmune condition termed as postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome, per Shams Charania of ESPN.
- Moses MoodyOUTOct 16: Moody (knee) is progressing toward a potential return between December and January after rupturing his left patellar tendon in March, Anthony Slater of ESPN reports.
- Jimmy Butler IIIOUTOct 16: Butler (knee) could return sometime between January and February as he continues recovering from a torn right ACL, Anthony Slater of ESPN reports.
- Yaxel LendeborgDTDOct 27: Lendeborg (foot) is questionable for Wednesday's game against Minnesota.
MIN
- Anthony EdwardsOUTOct 27: Edwards will undergo arthroscopic right knee surgery and is expected to miss up to two months, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
- Donte DiVincenzoOUTOct 5: DiVincenzo (Achilles) remains confident that he'll return during the 2026-27 season, Jon Krawczynski of The Athletic reports.
First basket
All ten starters →Tip: Draymond Green vs Rudy Gobert
Matchup
This season, blended with last until 10 games · rank 1 = allows the fewestAllows 110.8 points a game, 7th fewest of 30
| Points to guards | 55.0 | 8th |
| Points to forwards | 38.3 | 5th |
| Points to centers | 17.5 | 25th |
| Rebounds to centers | 10.6 | 18th |
| Assists to guards | 15.3 | 12th |
| Threes to guards | 7.1 | 6th |
Allows 117.4 points a game, 19th fewest of 30
| Points to guards | 62.3 | 27th |
| Points to forwards | 39.3 | 9th |
| Points to centers | 15.9 | 15th |
| Rebounds to centers | 10.2 | 15th |
| Assists to guards | 16.0 | 16th |
| Threes to guards | 7.6 | 13th |
Per game, by ESPN position group. A longer bar allows more. Points allowed carries pace and defense together.