NBA · 7:00 PM ET

Heat @ Hawks

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Prediction markets

Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 min

Moneyline

Team	Wins	Fair price
MIA	43%	2.35
ATL	57%	1.74

Total points

Market line 241.5: over 50% (2.02), under 50% (1.98).

Show every line and the range calculator

Total points · market line 241.5

Line	Over	Fair	Under	Fair
235.5	63%	1.59	37%	2.70
237.5	57%	1.75	43%	2.33
239.5	55%	1.82	45%	2.22
241.5	50%	2.02	50%	1.98
243.5	46%	2.17	54%	1.85
245.5	41%	2.44	59%	1.69
247.5	36%	2.78	64%	1.56

Spread: wins by more than

Team	By	Chance	Fair
ATL	1.5	56%	1.79
ATL	2.5	53%	1.90
ATL	3.5	49%	2.06
ATL	4.5	45%	2.25
MIA	1.5	39%	2.60
MIA	2.5	36%	2.78
MIA	3.5	32%	3.13
MIA	4.5	29%	3.45

Range calculator

Total lands overand underpoints

73% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.38: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 225.5 and under 265.5.

Injuries

From ESPN · refreshed every 30 min

MIA

Questionable / DTD · 2

Pelle LarssonDTD
Oct 27: Larsson is listed as probable for Wednesday's game at Atlanta due to a right ankle sprain.
Simone FontecchioDTD
Oct 27: Fontecchio is doubtful for Wednesday's game in Atlanta due to an illness, per Tim Reynolds of Associated Press.

ATL

Out · 2

Mouhamed GueyeOUT
Oct 19: Gueye underwent surgery Tuesday to repair a fractured left foot that he suffered during a workout last week, Brad Rowland of the Locked On Podcast Network reports.
Henri VeesaarOUT
Sep 21: Veesaar was diagnosed with a torn right ACL and is expected to miss the 2026-27 season, the Hawks announced Monday.

Questionable / DTD · 1