GS @ DEN
GS@
DENMoneyline
Members only
Members only
NBA · 10:00 PM ET
Warriors @ Nuggets
Cards
3
Top Alpha Score
Members only
PRESS
Members only
Sharp source
Model
Members only
Tonight's plays are for members. Bet Data Labs is invite-only.
Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| GS | 27% | 3.64 |
| DEN | 73% | 1.38 |
Total points
Market line 235.5: over 51% (1.98), under 49% (2.02).
Show every line and the range calculatorHide the ladders
Total points · market line 235.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 229.5 | 64% | 1.56 | 36% | 2.78 |
| 231.5 | 60% | 1.68 | 40% | 2.47 |
| 233.5 | 55% | 1.82 | 45% | 2.22 |
| 235.5 | 51% | 1.98 | 49% | 2.02 |
| 237.5 | 46% | 2.17 | 54% | 1.85 |
| 239.5 | 42% | 2.41 | 58% | 1.71 |
| 241.5 | 37% | 2.70 | 63% | 1.59 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 1.5 | 69% | 1.45 |
| DEN | 2.5 | 66% | 1.52 |
| DEN | 3.5 | 64% | 1.57 |
| DEN | 4.5 | 61% | 1.64 |
| GS | 1.5 | 25% | 4.00 |
| GS | 2.5 | 23% | 4.44 |
| GS | 4.5 | 18% | 5.56 |
| GS | 6.5 | 14% | 7.14 |
Range calculator
Total lands overand underpoints
74% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.36: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 219.5 and under 259.5.
Injuries
From ESPN · refreshed every 30 minGS
Out · 3
- Kristaps PorzingisOUTOct 21: Porzingis is contemplating his future in basketball as he deals with recurring symptoms from the autoimmune condition termed as postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome, per Shams Charania of ESPN.
- Moses MoodyOUTOct 16: Moody (knee) is progressing toward a potential return between December and January after rupturing his left patellar tendon in March, Anthony Slater of ESPN reports.
- Jimmy Butler IIIOUTOct 16: Butler (knee) could return sometime between January and February as he continues recovering from a torn right ACL, Anthony Slater of ESPN reports.
Questionable / DTD · 3
- Gui SantosDTDOct 25: Santos is questionable for Monday's game against the Nuggets due to left knee tendinitis.
- Brandon WilliamsDTDOct 25: Williams is probable for Monday's game against the Nuggets due to left lower back soreness.
- Charles BasseyDTDOct 25: Bassey is probable for Monday's game against the Nuggets due to right patellar tendinopathy.
DEN
Out · 2
- Spencer JonesOUTOct 25: Jones (hamstring) is out for Monday's matchup with the Warriors.
- Julian StrawtherOUTOct 16: Strawther (knee) was diagnosed with a left knee sprain Friday and will be re-evaluated in six weeks, Vinny Benedetto of The Denver Gazette reports.
Questionable / DTD · 2
- Alpha DialloDTDOct 25: Diallo (wrist) is doubtful for Monday's game against the Warriors.
- Cameron JohnsonDTDOct 25: Johnson (ankle) is doubtful to play Monday against the Warriors.
Matchup
This season, blended with last until 10 games · rank 1 = allows the fewestDEN defensevs GSAllows 114.8 points a game, 16th fewest of 30
| Points to guards | 58.8 | 21st |
| Points to forwards | 40.3 | 12th |
| Points to centers | 15.7 | 13th |
| Rebounds to centers | 11.4 | 24th |
| Assists to guards | 15.8 | 17th |
| Threes to guards | 8.0 | 22nd |
GS defensevs DENAllows 115.9 points a game, 19th fewest of 30
| Points to guards | 60.6 | 27th |
| Points to forwards | 39.3 | 9th |
| Points to centers | 16.1 | 15th |
| Rebounds to centers | 10.7 | 18th |
| Assists to guards | 15.5 | 11th |
| Threes to guards | 7.7 | 16th |
Per game, by ESPN position group. A longer bar allows more. Points allowed carries pace and defense together.
Moneyline
GS@DEN