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NBA · 6:00 PM ET

Heat @ Hornets

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2
Top Alpha Score
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PRESS
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Sharp source
Model
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Prediction markets

Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 min

Moneyline

TeamWinsFair price
MIA60%1.65
CHA40%2.53

Total points

Market line 232.5: over 50% (2.00), under 50% (2.00).

Show every line and the range calculator

Total points · market line 232.5

LineOverFairUnderFair
226.564%1.5736%2.74
228.559%1.6941%2.44
230.555%1.8245%2.22
232.550%2.0050%2.00
234.545%2.2055%1.83
236.542%2.4158%1.71
238.538%2.6762%1.60

Spread: wins by more than

TeamByChanceFair
MIA1.558%1.72
MIA2.554%1.85
MIA3.552%1.94
MIA4.547%2.15
CHA1.538%2.63
CHA2.535%2.86
CHA3.532%3.17
CHA4.530%3.39
Range calculator
Total lands overand underpoints

73% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.38: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 216.5 and under 256.5.

Injuries

From ESPN · refreshed every 30 min

MIA

No reported absences.

CHA

Out · 1
  • Kylan BoswellOUT
    Oct 20: Boswell (knee) is out for Wednesday's season opener against the Nets.
Questionable / DTD · 3
  • Grant WilliamsDTD
    Oct 23: Williams (hamstring) is out for Friday's game against the Hawks.
  • Coby WhiteDTD
    Oct 23: White (calf) is out for Friday's game against the Hawks.
  • Kon KnueppelDTD
    Oct 23: Knueppel (hamstring) is out for Friday's game against the Hawks.

Tip: Bam Adebayo vs Moussa Diabate

Members only

Matchup

This season, blended with last until 10 games · rank 1 = allows the fewest
CHACHA defensevs MIA

Allows 110.4 points a game, 7th fewest of 30

Points to guards51.3
1st
Points to forwards43.3
22nd
Points to centers15.8
12th
Rebounds to centers8.8
2nd
Assists to guards15.0
7th
Threes to guards6.3
1st
MIAMIA defensevs CHA

Allows 119.7 points a game, 23rd fewest of 30

Points to guards65.6
30th
Points to forwards39.2
9th
Points to centers14.9
8th
Rebounds to centers10.9
19th
Assists to guards17.3
27th
Threes to guards9.6
30th

Per game, by ESPN position group. A longer bar allows more. Points allowed carries pace and defense together.

Moneyline

MIA @ CHA

MIAMIA@CHACHA
Sat 6:00 PM ET
Moneyline
Members only
Members only
Our side, price and scoreMembers only

Spread

MIA @ CHA

MIAMIA@CHACHA
Sat 6:00 PM ET
Spread 3.5
Members only
Members only
Our side, price and scoreMembers only

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