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NBA · 9:30 PM ET

Rockets @ Spurs

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Top Alpha Score
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PRESS
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Model
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Prediction markets

Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 min

Moneyline

TeamWinsFair price
HOU29%3.39
SA71%1.42

Total points

Market line 227.5: over 50% (2.02), under 50% (1.98).

Show every line and the range calculator

Total points · market line 227.5

LineOverFairUnderFair
221.563%1.6037%2.67
223.557%1.7443%2.35
225.555%1.8345%2.20
227.550%2.0250%1.98
229.545%2.2255%1.82
231.540%2.5060%1.67
233.536%2.7864%1.56

Spread: wins by more than

TeamByChanceFair
SA1.567%1.49
SA2.564%1.57
SA3.562%1.63
SA4.558%1.72
HOU6.516%6.25
HOU8.514%7.41
HOU12.59%11.76
HOU14.57%14.29
Range calculator
Total lands overand underpoints

73% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.38: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 211.5 and under 251.5.

Injuries

From ESPN · refreshed every 30 min

HOU

Questionable / DTD · 1
  • Steven AdamsDTD
    Oct 21: Adams (calf) won't play in Wednesday's game versus Dallas.

SA

Out · 1
  • Jayden QuaintanceOUT
    Oct 5: Quaintance has been around the team but has not yet been cleared for basketball activities, Matt Guzman of SI.com reports.
Questionable / DTD · 1
  • Tobias HarrisDTD
    Oct 21: Harris (calf) will not be ready for the season opener Wednesday against the Thunder, Matt Guzman of SI.com reports.

Tip: Alperen Sengun vs Victor Wembanyama

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Matchup

This season, blended with last until 10 games · rank 1 = allows the fewest
SASA defensevs HOU

Allows 112.1 points a game, 9th fewest of 30

Points to guards58.6
20th
Points to forwards35.7
1st
Points to centers17.8
25th
Rebounds to centers10.7
18th
Assists to guards15.2
10th
Threes to guards8.0
19th
HOUHOU defensevs SA

Allows 110.0 points a game, 6th fewest of 30

Points to guards52.0
2nd
Points to forwards43.9
25th
Points to centers14.2
6th
Rebounds to centers8.8
2nd
Assists to guards13.5
1st
Threes to guards7.2
7th

Per game, by ESPN position group. A longer bar allows more. Points allowed carries pace and defense together.

Spread

HOU @ SA

HOUHOU@SASA
Fri 9:30 PM ET
Spread 6.5
Members only
Members only
Our side, price and scoreMembers only

Game Total

HOU @ SA

HOUHOU@SASA
Fri 9:30 PM ET
Game Total 225.5
Members only
Members only
Our side, price and scoreMembers only

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