Alex Ovechkin
WSHvs
BUF
BUFBUF allows3rd-most goals4th-most points
Goals 0.5
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Members only
OPP
30th
3.4/g
NHL · 7:00 PM ET
Sabres @ Capitals
Cards
5
Top Alpha Score
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PRESS
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Sharp source
Model
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Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| BUF | 46% | 2.15 |
| WSH | 54% | 1.87 |
Total goals
Market line 6.5: over 51% (1.98), under 49% (2.02).
Show every line and the range calculatorHide the ladders
Total goals · market line 6.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 89% | 1.13 | 11% | 8.70 |
| 4.5 | 82% | 1.22 | 18% | 5.56 |
| 5.5 | 61% | 1.64 | 39% | 2.56 |
| 6.5 | 51% | 1.98 | 49% | 2.02 |
| 7.5 | 29% | 3.45 | 71% | 1.41 |
| 8.5 | 21% | 4.76 | 79% | 1.27 |
| 9.5 | 10% | 10.53 | 90% | 1.10 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 1.5 | 33% | 3.08 |
| WSH | 2.5 | 22% | 4.65 |
| BUF | 1.5 | 27% | 3.77 |
| BUF | 2.5 | 17% | 6.06 |
Range calculator
Total lands overand undergoals
73% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.38: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 4.5 and under 9.5.
Injuries
From ESPN · refreshed every 30 minBUF
Questionable / DTD · 2
- Jiri KulichDTDOct 23: day-to-day
- Justin DanforthDTDOct 22: day-to-day
Other · 5Show
- Sam Carrick?Oct 21: ir
- Alex Lyon?Oct 15: Lyon (upper body) had a setback in his recovery and is without a timeline to return, the team announced Thursday.
- Matt Grzelcyk?Oct 13: Grzelcyk (lower body) suffered a "flare-up" and could be out for at least "a few days," head coach Lindy Ruff told Rachel Lenzi of The Buffalo News on Tuesday.
- Conor Timmins?Sep 29: Timmins (lower body) doesn't have a timeline for his return yet, according to Heather Engel of NHL.com on Tuesday.
- Jack Rathbone?Sep 28: ir-nr
WSH
Questionable / DTD · 2
- Logan ThompsonDTDOct 21: Thompson won't practice Wednesday and is considered day-to-day with a lower-body injury ahead of Saturday's clash with the Sabres, Sammi Silber of The Hockey News reports.
- Justin SourdifDTDOct 21: day-to-day
Other · 4Show
- Vincent Desharnais?Oct 23: ir
- Pierre-Luc Dubois?Oct 21: Dubois (illness) skated Wednesday in a regular jersey and appears to be on track to return to game action Saturday against the Sabres, Sammi Silber of The Hockey News reports.
- Rasmus Sandin?Oct 12: Sandin (knee) was placed on long-term injured reserve Monday.
- Patrick Thomas?Sep 29: ir-nr
