TROY @ JMU
TROYJMU
Moneyline
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CFB · 7:30 PM ET
Troy @ James Madison
Cards
3
Top Alpha Score
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PRESS
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Sharp source
Model
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Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| TROY | 8% | 11.76 |
| JMU | 92% | 1.09 |
Total points
Market line 50.5: over 48% (2.11), under 52% (1.90).
Show every line and the range calculatorHide the ladders
Total points · market line 50.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.5 | 72% | 1.39 | 28% | 3.57 |
| 44.5 | 65% | 1.55 | 35% | 2.82 |
| 47.5 | 57% | 1.74 | 43% | 2.35 |
| 50.5 | 48% | 2.11 | 52% | 1.90 |
| 51.5 | 45% | 2.25 | 55% | 1.80 |
| 52.5 | 43% | 2.35 | 57% | 1.74 |
| 53.5 | 40% | 2.53 | 60% | 1.65 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| JMU | 1.5 | 92% | 1.09 |
| JMU | 2.5 | 91% | 1.10 |
| JMU | 3.5 | 88% | 1.14 |
| JMU | 4.5 | 86% | 1.17 |
| TROY | 1.5 | 7% | 14.29 |
| TROY | 2.5 | 7% | 15.38 |
| TROY | 3.5 | 4% | 25.00 |
| TROY | 4.5 | 4% | 28.57 |
Range calculator
Total lands overand underpoints
77% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.31: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 35.5 and under 71.5.