Alex Scherle
BALLvsSAC
Anytime TD 0.5
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CFB · 3:30 PM ET
Sacramento St @ Ball State
Cards
21
Top Alpha Score
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PRESS
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Sharp source
Model
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Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| SAC | 16% | 6.06 |
| BALL | 84% | 1.20 |
Total points
Market line 51.5: over 49% (2.06), under 51% (1.94).
Show every line and the range calculatorHide the ladders
Total points · market line 51.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.5 | 56% | 1.77 | 44% | 2.30 |
| 49.5 | 55% | 1.83 | 45% | 2.20 |
| 50.5 | 52% | 1.92 | 48% | 2.08 |
| 51.5 | 49% | 2.06 | 51% | 1.94 |
| 52.5 | 46% | 2.20 | 54% | 1.83 |
| 53.5 | 44% | 2.30 | 56% | 1.77 |
| 56.5 | 36% | 2.78 | 64% | 1.56 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| BALL | 1.5 | 83% | 1.21 |
| BALL | 2.5 | 81% | 1.24 |
| BALL | 3.5 | 77% | 1.31 |
| BALL | 4.5 | 74% | 1.35 |
| SAC | 1.5 | 14% | 7.14 |
| SAC | 2.5 | 14% | 7.14 |
| SAC | 3.5 | 11% | 9.52 |
| SAC | 4.5 | 9% | 11.11 |
Range calculator
Total lands overand underpoints
70% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.44: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 38.5 and under 71.5.
Anytime TD
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Anytime TD 0.5
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Anytime TD 0.5
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Kyle Koontz
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Anytime TD 0.5
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Matt Coleman
SAC@BALL
Anytime TD 0.5
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Onterrio Smith Jr.
SAC@BALL
Anytime TD 0.5
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Raiden Brown
SAC@BALL
Anytime TD 0.5
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BALLvsSAC
Anytime TD 0.5
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TJ Horton
BALLvsSAC
Anytime TD 0.5
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