ORE @ ILL
ORE@ILL
Spread 8.5
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Members only
CFB · 3:00 PM ET
Oregon @ Illinois
Cards
1
Top Alpha Score
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PRESS
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Sharp source
Model
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Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| ORE | 76% | 1.31 |
| ILL | 24% | 4.26 |
Total points
Market line 49.5: over 51% (1.96), under 49% (2.04).
Show every line and the range calculatorHide the ladders
Total points · market line 49.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.5 | 74% | 1.35 | 26% | 3.85 |
| 43.5 | 68% | 1.48 | 32% | 3.08 |
| 46.5 | 59% | 1.69 | 41% | 2.44 |
| 49.5 | 51% | 1.96 | 49% | 2.04 |
| 50.5 | 49% | 2.06 | 51% | 1.94 |
| 51.5 | 46% | 2.20 | 54% | 1.83 |
| 52.5 | 43% | 2.35 | 57% | 1.74 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORE | 1.5 | 75% | 1.33 |
| ORE | 2.5 | 73% | 1.38 |
| ORE | 3.5 | 67% | 1.50 |
| ORE | 4.5 | 64% | 1.56 |
| ILL | 1.5 | 22% | 4.55 |
| ILL | 2.5 | 21% | 4.88 |
| ILL | 3.5 | 16% | 6.25 |
| ILL | 4.5 | 15% | 6.67 |
Range calculator
Total lands overand underpoints
71% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.41: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 37.5 and under 70.5.