Beau Pribula
UVAvsDUKE
Anytime TD 0.5
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CFB · 7:00 PM ET
Duke @ Virginia
Cards
32
Top Alpha Score
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PRESS
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Sharp source
Model
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Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| DUKE | 45% | 2.20 |
| UVA | 55% | 1.83 |
Total points
Market line 47.5: over 49% (2.04), under 51% (1.96).
Show every line and the range calculatorHide the ladders
Total points · market line 47.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.5 | 69% | 1.45 | 31% | 3.23 |
| 43.5 | 61% | 1.64 | 39% | 2.56 |
| 46.5 | 53% | 1.89 | 47% | 2.13 |
| 47.5 | 49% | 2.04 | 51% | 1.96 |
| 48.5 | 47% | 2.15 | 53% | 1.87 |
| 49.5 | 44% | 2.27 | 56% | 1.79 |
| 50.5 | 41% | 2.44 | 59% | 1.69 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | 1.5 | 52% | 1.94 |
| UVA | 2.5 | 49% | 2.06 |
| UVA | 3.5 | 43% | 2.35 |
| UVA | 4.5 | 40% | 2.50 |
| DUKE | 1.5 | 44% | 2.30 |
| DUKE | 2.5 | 41% | 2.44 |
| DUKE | 3.5 | 35% | 2.86 |
| DUKE | 4.5 | 32% | 3.13 |
Range calculator
Total lands overand underpoints
74% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.35: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 34.5 and under 70.5.
Anytime TD
CJ Campbell Jr.
DUKE@UVA
Anytime TD 0.5
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Da'Shawn Martin
UVAvsDUKE
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Jeremiah Hasley
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John Rogers
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Jonah Burton
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Kameron Courtney
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Kavon Simmons
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Nate Kurisky
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Nate Sheppard
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TyLyric Coleman
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Walker Eget
DUKE@UVA
Anytime TD 0.5
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Xavier Brown
UVAvsDUKE
Anytime TD 0.5
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Xay Davis
UVAvsDUKE
Anytime TD 0.5
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