CAL @ SMU
CAL@SMU
Spread 18.5
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CFB · 12:00 PM ET
California @ SMU
Cards
35
Top Alpha Score
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PRESS
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Model
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Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| CAL | 9% | 10.53 |
| SMU | 91% | 1.10 |
Total points
Market line 55.5: over 49% (2.06), under 51% (1.94).
Show every line and the range calculatorHide the ladders
Total points · market line 55.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.5 | 58% | 1.72 | 42% | 2.38 |
| 53.5 | 56% | 1.77 | 44% | 2.30 |
| 54.5 | 54% | 1.87 | 46% | 2.15 |
| 55.5 | 49% | 2.06 | 51% | 1.94 |
| 56.5 | 47% | 2.15 | 53% | 1.87 |
| 57.5 | 45% | 2.22 | 55% | 1.82 |
| 58.5 | 42% | 2.38 | 58% | 1.72 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | 1.5 | 89% | 1.13 |
| SMU | 2.5 | 88% | 1.14 |
| SMU | 3.5 | 84% | 1.19 |
| SMU | 4.5 | 83% | 1.21 |
| CAL | 1.5 | 9% | 11.11 |
| CAL | 2.5 | 9% | 11.76 |
| CAL | 3.5 | 6% | 16.67 |
| CAL | 4.5 | 5% | 20.00 |
Range calculator
Total lands overand underpoints
75% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.34: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 40.5 and under 76.5.
Spread
Anytime TD
Adam Mohammed
CAL@SMU
Anytime TD 0.5
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Anthony League
CAL@SMU
Anytime TD 0.5
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Ashten Emory
CAL@SMU
Anytime TD 0.5
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Chase Hendricks
CAL@SMU
Anytime TD 0.5
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Cooper Perry
CAL@SMU
Anytime TD 0.5
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Derrick McFall
SMUvsCAL
Anytime TD 0.5
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Ian Strong
CAL@SMU
Anytime TD 0.5
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Jalen Cooper
SMUvsCAL
Anytime TD 0.5
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Jalen Hale
SMUvsCAL
Anytime TD 0.5
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Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
CAL@SMU
Anytime TD 0.5
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Jordan King
CAL@SMU
Anytime TD 0.5
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Kendrick Raphael
SMUvsCAL
Anytime TD 0.5
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Kevin Jennings
SMUvsCAL
Anytime TD 0.5
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Kyion Grayes
CAL@SMU
Anytime TD 0.5
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Mark Hamper
CAL@SMU
Anytime TD 0.5
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Mason Mini
CAL@SMU
Anytime TD 0.5
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Randy Pittman Jr.
SMUvsCAL
Anytime TD 0.5
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Taimane Purcell
CAL@SMU
Anytime TD 0.5
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Theo Melin Ohrstrom
SMUvsCAL
Anytime TD 0.5
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Tyree Sams
CAL@SMU
Anytime TD 0.5
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Yamir Knight
SMUvsCAL
Anytime TD 0.5
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Members only
Yannick Smith
SMUvsCAL
Anytime TD 0.5
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Members only