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NBA · POR @ LAL · 11:00 PM ET·
Donovan Clingan
Pts + Ast 11.5 · POR · Trail Blazers @ Lakers (home)
PASS
Our callOver 9.5 pts + ast≈65%-236DK
The card's line is Over 11.5; Over 9.5 is the line we would bet.
Tough matchup: Los Angeles allows 16.2 pts+ast to centers (7th fewest).
Over 4.5
≈86%
-2100
Over 9.5
≈65%
-236
Over 11.5
53%
-130LINE
OVER
11.5
UNDER
11.5
Our win %
53%
Market %
53%
Edge
+0.0pp
Market
Pts + Ast 11.5
DK
-130
Projection13.2vs11.5(1.7 over)
◆ SAFE PICK FINDER
Safe but short price5+ · 10 of last 10-2100DK
Edge
+0.0pp
EV
-6.3%
Alpha Score
15
Recommended
0.00u
PASSWATCHLEANSTRONGPRESS
Best lineBuy down to 11: an exact 11 returns your stake (6% push)
Every game behind L5, L10, L20 and H2H, drawn against tonight's line.
Minutes
Does he play enough to clear 11.5?Tonight
24
projected
Needs
~24
at his rate
L5
21
avg min
L10
23
avg min
How we got 24 minutes
Recent role: 24.0 minutes, his last 10 games, leaving out 14 min (blowout).
Nothing moves it tonight: no fresh teammate absence, back-to-back, return or big spread.
He makes 4.8 pts + ast per 10 minutes over his last 10, so 11.5 needs about 24 minutes.
Over 11.5 by minutes, last 20 games: 7 of 14 in his normal 20 to 28 minutes, 2 of 5 over 28, 0 of 1 under 20.
Confidence readOn the fence
Card ID: c-401909880-DonovanClingan-PAPublished 10/28/2026, 2:57:29 AM