Jalon Daniels
TBvs
PIT
LEAN
Sun 1:00 PM ETRush Attempts 7.5
DK
1.70
-143
flat12 pulls
OVER
7.5
UNDER
7.5
61%
win
+5.0pp
L5
67%
2/3
L10
67%
2/3
L20
67%
2/3
SZN
67%
2/3
H2H
-
ACC
-
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| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| PIT | 56% | 1.77 |
| TB | 44% | 2.30 |
Market line 38.5: over 52% (1.94), under 49% (2.06).
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.5 | 73% | 1.38 | 28% | 3.64 |
| 34.5 | 65% | 1.55 | 36% | 2.82 |
| 37.5 | 55% | 1.82 | 45% | 2.22 |
| 38.5 | 52% | 1.94 | 49% | 2.06 |
| 39.5 | 49% | 2.06 | 52% | 1.94 |
| 40.5 | 46% | 2.20 | 54% | 1.83 |
| 41.5 | 42% | 2.41 | 59% | 1.71 |
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 1.5 | 54% | 1.87 |
| PIT | 2.5 | 51% | 1.98 |
| PIT | 3.5 | 42% | 2.41 |
| PIT | 4.5 | 39% | 2.60 |
| TB | 1.5 | 42% | 2.41 |
| TB | 2.5 | 39% | 2.56 |
| TB | 3.5 | 33% | 3.08 |
| TB | 4.5 | 28% | 3.57 |
74% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.35: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 28.5 and under 58.5.
21+. Available in CT and where legal. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET (1-800-697-3738) or chat at 1800myreset.org. In Connecticut, call 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat.
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