Michael Penix Jr.
ATLvs
CHI
LEAN
Sun 1:00 PM ETCompletions 20.5
DK
1.79
-127
flat12 pulls
OVER
20.5
UNDER
20.5
58%
win
+5.0pp
L5
100%
5/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
75%
9/12
SZN
75%
9/12
H2H
-
ACC
-
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| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| CHI | 51% | 1.98 |
| ATL | 50% | 2.02 |
Market line 53.5: over 46% (2.20), under 54% (1.83).
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.5 | 60% | 1.68 | 41% | 2.47 |
| 49.5 | 59% | 1.71 | 42% | 2.41 |
| 50.5 | 56% | 1.80 | 44% | 2.25 |
| 53.5 | 46% | 2.20 | 54% | 1.83 |
| 56.5 | 38% | 2.67 | 63% | 1.60 |
| 59.5 | 29% | 3.45 | 71% | 1.41 |
| 62.5 | 24% | 4.26 | 77% | 1.31 |
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 1.5 | 47% | 2.13 |
| ATL | 2.5 | 44% | 2.27 |
| ATL | 3.5 | 36% | 2.82 |
| ATL | 4.5 | 33% | 3.08 |
| CHI | 1.5 | 47% | 2.15 |
| CHI | 2.5 | 45% | 2.25 |
| CHI | 3.5 | 37% | 2.74 |
| CHI | 4.5 | 35% | 2.86 |
73% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.37: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 38.5 and under 68.5.
21+. Available in CT and where legal. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET (1-800-697-3738) or chat at 1800myreset.org. In Connecticut, call 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat.
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