Geno Smith
NYJ@
NE
WATCH
Sun 1:00 PM ETPassing TDs 1.5
DK
1.43
-235
flat12 pulls
OVER
1.5
UNDER
1.5
62%
win
-5.0pp
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
70%
14/20
SZN
70%
14/20
H2H
100%
1/1
ACC
-
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| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| NYJ | 25% | 4.08 |
| NE | 76% | 1.32 |
Market line 43.5: over 50% (2.02), under 51% (1.98).
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38.5 | 66% | 1.52 | 34% | 2.94 |
| 41.5 | 56% | 1.77 | 44% | 2.30 |
| 42.5 | 54% | 1.87 | 47% | 2.15 |
| 43.5 | 50% | 2.02 | 51% | 1.98 |
| 44.5 | 46% | 2.20 | 54% | 1.83 |
| 45.5 | 43% | 2.35 | 57% | 1.74 |
| 46.5 | 41% | 2.47 | 60% | 1.68 |
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| NE | 1.5 | 74% | 1.36 |
| NE | 2.5 | 71% | 1.41 |
| NE | 3.5 | 63% | 1.59 |
| NE | 4.5 | 60% | 1.68 |
| NYJ | 1.5 | 23% | 4.44 |
| NYJ | 2.5 | 21% | 4.76 |
| NYJ | 3.5 | 17% | 6.06 |
| NYJ | 4.5 | 15% | 6.90 |
75% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.34: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 32.5 and under 62.5.
21+. Available in CT and where legal. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET (1-800-697-3738) or chat at 1800myreset.org. In Connecticut, call 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat.
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