Ryan Fitzgerald
CAR@
PHI
WATCH
Sun 1:00 PM ETKicking Points 6.5
DK
1.88
-114
flat12 pulls
OVER
6.5
UNDER
6.5
56%
win
+5.0pp
L5
100%
5/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
60%
12/20
SZN
55%
12/22
H2H
-
ACC
-
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| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| CAR | 62% | 1.63 |
| PHI | 39% | 2.60 |
Market line 39.5: over 49% (2.06), under 52% (1.94).
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30.5 | 75% | 1.34 | 26% | 3.92 |
| 33.5 | 68% | 1.48 | 32% | 3.08 |
| 36.5 | 59% | 1.69 | 41% | 2.44 |
| 39.5 | 49% | 2.06 | 52% | 1.94 |
| 40.5 | 45% | 2.25 | 55% | 1.80 |
| 41.5 | 41% | 2.47 | 60% | 1.68 |
| 42.5 | 38% | 2.67 | 63% | 1.60 |
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 1.5 | 59% | 1.71 |
| CAR | 2.5 | 56% | 1.77 |
| CAR | 3.5 | 47% | 2.15 |
| CAR | 4.5 | 44% | 2.30 |
| PHI | 1.5 | 37% | 2.74 |
| PHI | 2.5 | 35% | 2.90 |
| PHI | 3.5 | 28% | 3.64 |
| PHI | 4.5 | 25% | 4.08 |
76% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.32: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 27.5 and under 57.5.
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