Chandler Simpson
TB@
CLE
STRONG
Sat 8:00 PM ETTotal Bases 1.5
DK
1.56
-179
flat8 pulls
OVER
1.5
UNDER
1.5
71%
win
+10.4pp
L5
80%
4/5
L10
90%
9/10
L20
70%
14/20
SZN
60%
93/154
H2H
33%
3/9
ACC
65%
n=1013
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| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| TB | 54% | 1.87 |
| CLE | 47% | 2.15 |
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 74% | 1.35 | 26% | 3.85 |
| 5.5 | 60% | 1.67 | 40% | 2.50 |
| 6.5 | 51% | 1.96 | 49% | 2.04 |
| 7.5 | 39% | 2.56 | 61% | 1.64 |
| 8.5 | 31% | 3.23 | 69% | 1.45 |
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| TB | 1.5 | 37% | 2.70 |
| TB | 2.5 | 26% | 3.92 |
| TB | 3.5 | 17% | 5.88 |
| CLE | 1.5 | 29% | 3.45 |
| CLE | 2.5 | 19% | 5.26 |
| CLE | 3.5 | 13% | 8.00 |
43% chance, by the market. Fair price 2.33: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 4.5 and under 8.5.
21+. Available in CT and where legal. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET (1-800-697-3738) or chat at 1800myreset.org. In Connecticut, call 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat.
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