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NHL · 7:30 PM ET

Sharks @ Maple Leafs

Cards
16
Top Alpha Score
57
PRESS
0
Sharp source
Model

Prediction markets

Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 min

Moneyline

TeamWinsFair price
SJ44%2.30
TOR56%1.77

Total goals

Market line 6.5: over 53% (1.89), under 47% (2.13).

Show every line and the range calculator

Total goals · market line 6.5

LineOverFairUnderFair
3.590%1.1110%10.00
4.584%1.2017%6.06
5.564%1.5636%2.78
6.553%1.8947%2.13
7.532%3.1368%1.47
8.524%4.1776%1.32
9.512%8.7089%1.13

Spread: wins by more than

TeamByChanceFair
TOR1.535%2.90
TOR2.524%4.17
SJ1.525%4.00
SJ2.516%6.25
Range calculator
Total lands overand undergoals

72% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.39: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 4.5 and under 9.5.

Injuries

From ESPN · refreshed every 30 min

SJ

Other · 2Show
  • Quentin Musty?
    Musty (upper body) was put on non-roster injured reserve Monday, according to Curtis Pashelka of The San Jose Mercury News.
  • Kyle Keyser?
    Keyser (upper body) was placed on non-roster injured reserve by the Sharks on Monday, Curtis Pashelka of The San Jose Mercury News reports.

TOR

Other · 8Show
  • John Tavares?
    ir
  • Dakota Joshua?
    Joshua (abdomen) was sent to AHL Toronto on Friday for a conditioning stint.
  • Miles Wood?
    ir
  • Chris Tanev?
    The Maple Leafs announced Thursday that Tanev (lower body) is considered week-to-week, Mark Masters of TSN reports.
  • Max Domi?
    Domi (back) was transferred from the non-roster list to long-term injured reserve Wednesday, per PuckPedia.
  • Cade Webber?
    ir-nr
  • Elvis Merzlikins?
    Merzlikins is expected to miss 4-6 months to begin the 2026-27 regular season while recovering from a shoulder injury, per Luke Fox of Sportsnet.
  • William Villeneuve?
    ir-nr

Goals

TOR

William Nylander

TORvsSJSJ
WATCH
Mon 7:30 PM ET
Goals 0.5
FD
1.48
-210
flat14 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
66%
win
+2.9pp
L5
80%
4/5
L10
67%
6/9
L20
67%
6/9
SZN
67%
6/9
H2H
-
 
ACC
75%
n=19093
57alpha1
SJ

Will Smith

SJ@TORTOR
WATCH
Mon 7:30 PM ET
Goals 0.5
FD
1.38
-260
flat14 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
71%
win
+2.9pp
L5
80%
4/5
L10
75%
6/8
L20
75%
6/8
SZN
75%
6/8
H2H
-
 
ACC
75%
n=19093
56alpha1
SJ

Ivar Stenberg

SJ@TORTOR
WATCH
Mon 7:30 PM ET
Goals 0.5
FD
1.25
-400
flat14 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
77%
win
+2.9pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
75%
6/8
L20
75%
6/8
SZN
75%
6/8
H2H
-
 
ACC
75%
n=19093
50alpha2
Show 3 more Goals
TOR

Kirill Marchenko

TORvsSJSJ
PASS
Mon 7:30 PM ET
Goals 0.5
FD
2.60
+160
flat14 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
33%
win
-2.8pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
22%
2/9
L20
22%
2/9
SZN
22%
2/9
H2H
-
 
ACC
31%
n=4854
0alpha1
TOR

Auston Matthews

TORvsSJSJ
PASS
Mon 7:30 PM ET
Goals 0.5
FD
2.10
+110
flat14 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
41%
win
-2.8pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
56%
5/9
L20
56%
5/9
SZN
56%
5/9
H2H
-
 
ACC
31%
n=4854
0alpha1
SJ

Macklin Celebrini

SJ@TORTOR
PASS
Mon 7:30 PM ET
Goals 0.5
FD
2.20
+120
flat14 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
40%
win
-2.8pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
3/6
L20
50%
3/6
SZN
50%
3/6
H2H
-
 
ACC
31%
n=4854
0alpha1

Shots on Goal

TOR

Jack Roslovic

TORvsSJSJ
PASS
Mon 7:30 PM ET
Shots on Goal 1.5
FD
1.53
-190
flat11 pulls
OVER
1.5
UNDER
1.5
59%
win
-3.0pp
L5
100%
5/5
L10
100%
9/9
L20
100%
9/9
SZN
100%
9/9
H2H
-
 
ACC
52%
n=22813
38alpha1
SJ

Tyler Toffoli

SJ@TORTOR
PASS
Mon 7:30 PM ET
Shots on Goal 1.5
FD
1.60
-168
flat11 pulls
OVER
1.5
UNDER
1.5
56%
win
-3.0pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
63%
5/8
L20
63%
5/8
SZN
63%
5/8
H2H
-
 
ACC
52%
n=22813
30alpha1
TOR

William Nylander

TORvsSJSJ
PASS
Mon 7:30 PM ET
Shots on Goal 2.5
FD
1.77
-130
flat11 pulls
OVER
2.5
UNDER
2.5
50%
win
-3.0pp
L5
80%
4/5
L10
56%
5/9
L20
56%
5/9
SZN
56%
5/9
H2H
-
 
ACC
52%
n=22813
14alpha
Show 7 more Shots on Goal
TOR

Auston Matthews

TORvsSJSJ
PASS
Mon 7:30 PM ET
Shots on Goal 3.5
FD
1.88
-114
flat11 pulls
OVER
3.5
UNDER
3.5
52%
win
+1.9pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
56%
5/9
L20
56%
5/9
SZN
56%
5/9
H2H
-
 
ACC
54%
n=12473
14alpha
SJ

Mason Marchment

SJ@TORTOR
PASS
Mon 7:30 PM ET
Shots on Goal 1.5
FD
1.68
-146
flat11 pulls
OVER
1.5
UNDER
1.5
48%
win
-7.5pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
4/8
L20
50%
4/8
SZN
50%
4/8
H2H
-
 
ACC
52%
n=22813
7alpha1
SJ

Macklin Celebrini

SJ@TORTOR
PASS
Mon 7:30 PM ET
Shots on Goal 3.5
FD
1.85
-118
flat11 pulls
OVER
3.5
UNDER
3.5
48%
win
-3.0pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
3/6
L20
50%
3/6
SZN
50%
3/6
H2H
-
 
ACC
52%
n=22813
1alpha
SJ

Kiefer Sherwood

SJ@TORTOR
PASS
Mon 7:30 PM ET
Shots on Goal 1.5
FD
1.69
-144
flat11 pulls
OVER
1.5
UNDER
1.5
44%
win
-10.9pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
25%
2/8
L20
25%
2/8
SZN
25%
2/8
H2H
-
 
ACC
52%
n=22813
0alpha1
SJ

Will Smith

SJ@TORTOR
PASS
Mon 7:30 PM ET
Shots on Goal 2.5
FD
1.93
-108
flat11 pulls
OVER
2.5
UNDER
2.5
46%
win
-3.0pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
4/8
L20
50%
4/8
SZN
50%
4/8
H2H
-
 
ACC
52%
n=22813
0alpha
TOR

Darren Raddysh

TORvsSJSJ
PASS
Mon 7:30 PM ET
Shots on Goal 2.5
FD
2.04
+104
flat11 pulls
OVER
2.5
UNDER
2.5
43%
win
-3.0pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
56%
5/9
L20
56%
5/9
SZN
56%
5/9
H2H
-
 
ACC
52%
n=22813
0alpha
TOR

Kirill Marchenko

TORvsSJSJ
PASS
Mon 7:30 PM ET
Shots on Goal 2.5
FD
1.91
-110
flat11 pulls
OVER
2.5
UNDER
2.5
46%
win
-3.0pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
67%
6/9
L20
67%
6/9
SZN
67%
6/9
H2H
-
 
ACC
52%
n=22813
0alpha

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