William Nylander
TORvs
SJ
WATCH
Mon 7:30 PM ETGoals 0.5
FD
1.48
-210
flat14 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
66%
win
+2.9pp
L5
80%
4/5
L10
67%
6/9
L20
67%
6/9
SZN
67%
6/9
H2H
-
ACC
75%
n=19093
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| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| SJ | 44% | 2.30 |
| TOR | 56% | 1.77 |
Market line 6.5: over 53% (1.89), under 47% (2.13).
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 90% | 1.11 | 10% | 10.00 |
| 4.5 | 84% | 1.20 | 17% | 6.06 |
| 5.5 | 64% | 1.56 | 36% | 2.78 |
| 6.5 | 53% | 1.89 | 47% | 2.13 |
| 7.5 | 32% | 3.13 | 68% | 1.47 |
| 8.5 | 24% | 4.17 | 76% | 1.32 |
| 9.5 | 12% | 8.70 | 89% | 1.13 |
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 1.5 | 35% | 2.90 |
| TOR | 2.5 | 24% | 4.17 |
| SJ | 1.5 | 25% | 4.00 |
| SJ | 2.5 | 16% | 6.25 |
72% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.39: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 4.5 and under 9.5.
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