Adam Fantilli
CBJvs
NYR
NYRLEAN
Sat 7:00 PM ETGoals 0.5
FD
1.43
-230
flat8 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
77%
win
+12.2pp
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
4/5
L20
80%
4/5
SZN
80%
4/5
H2H
-
ACC
75%
n=19093
NHL · 7:00 PM ET
Rangers @ Blue Jackets
Cards
6
Top Alpha Score
69
PRESS
0
Sharp source
Model
Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| NYR | 45% | 2.20 |
| CBJ | 55% | 1.83 |
Total goals · market line 6.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 88% | 1.14 | 12% | 8.33 |
| 4.5 | 80% | 1.25 | 20% | 5.00 |
| 5.5 | 59% | 1.71 | 42% | 2.41 |
| 6.5 | 48% | 2.08 | 52% | 1.92 |
| 7.5 | 27% | 3.77 | 74% | 1.36 |
| 8.5 | 20% | 5.13 | 81% | 1.24 |
| 9.5 | 9% | 11.76 | 92% | 1.09 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 1.5 | 33% | 3.08 |
| CBJ | 2.5 | 22% | 4.55 |
| NYR | 1.5 | 25% | 4.08 |
| NYR | 2.5 | 17% | 6.06 |
Range calculator
Total lands overand undergoals
72% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.40: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 4.5 and under 9.5.
Injuries
From ESPN · refreshed every 30 minNYR
Other · 5
- Igor Shesterkin?Shesterkin will require surgery and a lengthy rehab process to address his season-ending right knee injury, Vince Z. Mercogliano of The Athletic reports Sunday.
- Joe Veleno?Veleno (lower body) was placed on long-term injured reserve Saturday, Vince Z. Mercogliano of The Athletic reports.
- Joonas Korpisalo?Korpisalo (lower body) will miss at least four more weeks, per Elliotte Friedman of Sportsnet on Saturday.
- Aidan Thompson?ir-nr
- Adam Sykora?ir
CBJ
No reported absences.
Goals
J.T. Miller
NYR@CBJ
CBJWATCH
Sat 7:00 PM ETGoals 0.5
FD
1.24
-420
flat8 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
80%
win
+4.4pp
L5
100%
5/5
L10
89%
8/9
L20
89%
8/9
SZN
89%
8/9
H2H
-
ACC
75%
n=19093
Pavel Dorofeyev
NYR@CBJ
CBJWATCH
Sat 7:00 PM ETGoals 0.5
FD
1.40
-250
flat8 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
70%
win
+3.5pp
L5
80%
4/5
L10
78%
7/9
L20
78%
7/9
SZN
78%
7/9
H2H
-
ACC
75%
n=19093
Show 3 more GoalsShow fewer
Matthew Knies
CBJvsNYR
NYRWATCH
Sat 7:00 PM ETGoals 0.5
FD
1.38
-260
flat8 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
71%
win
+2.9pp
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
4/5
L20
80%
4/5
SZN
80%
4/5
H2H
-
ACC
75%
n=19093
Mika Zibanejad
NYR@CBJ
CBJWATCH
Sat 7:00 PM ETGoals 0.5
FD
1.32
-310
flat8 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
74%
win
+2.9pp
L5
80%
4/5
L10
78%
7/9
L20
78%
7/9
SZN
78%
7/9
H2H
-
ACC
75%
n=19093
Alexis Lafrenière
NYR@CBJ
CBJPASS
Sat 7:00 PM ETGoals 0.5
FD
2.75
+175
flat8 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
31%
win
-2.8pp
L5
80%
4/5
L10
44%
4/9
L20
44%
4/9
SZN
44%
4/9
H2H
-
ACC
31%
n=4854