Drake Batherson
OTT@
PHI
PHILEAN
Sat 7:00 PM ETGoals 0.5
FD
1.37
-270
-10cFade36 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
73%
win
+3.9pp
L5
80%
4/5
L10
63%
5/8
L20
63%
5/8
SZN
63%
5/8
H2H
100%
1/1
ACC
75%
n=19093
NHL · 7:00 PM ET
Senators @ Flyers
Cards
2
Top Alpha Score
60
PRESS
0
Sharp source
Model
Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| OTT | 56% | 1.77 |
| PHI | 44% | 2.30 |
Total goals · market line 5.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 96% | 1.04 | 4% | 25.00 |
| 3.5 | 83% | 1.21 | 18% | 5.71 |
| 4.5 | 75% | 1.34 | 26% | 3.92 |
| 5.5 | 50% | 2.00 | 50% | 2.00 |
| 6.5 | 40% | 2.50 | 60% | 1.67 |
| 7.5 | 22% | 4.55 | 78% | 1.28 |
| 8.5 | 16% | 6.45 | 85% | 1.18 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| OTT | 1.5 | 35% | 2.90 |
| OTT | 2.5 | 22% | 4.65 |
| PHI | 1.5 | 24% | 4.26 |
| PHI | 2.5 | 15% | 6.90 |
Range calculator
Total lands overand undergoals
76% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.32: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 3.5 and under 9.5.
Injuries
From ESPN · refreshed every 30 minOTT
Out · 1
- Nikolas MatinpaloOUTMatinpalo (upper body) won't play against St. Louis on Tuesday, and there is no timeline for his return, Bruce Garrioch of Postmedia reports.
Questionable / DTD · 1
- Jake SandersonDTDday-to-day
Other · 2
- William Eklund?Eklund had surgery to repair a torn ankle tendon and will be out 10-12 weeks, Bruce Garrioch of Postmedia reports Thursday.
- Kurtis MacDermid?MacDermid (upper body) was moved to the injured non-roster list Monday.
PHI
Questionable / DTD · 1
- Cam YorkDTDday-to-day
Other · 3
- Rasmus Ristolainen?Ristolainen (upper body) won't travel with the Flyers ahead of Thursday's game against the Red Wings but is closing in on a return, Charlie O'Connor of PHLY Sports reports.
- Travis Konecny?Konecny (lower body) was placed on injured reserve Sunday, according to the NHL media site.
- Nikita Grebenkin?Grebenkin (back) underwent successful surgery and is expected to miss at least four months.
