Lucas Raymond
DETvs
SJ
SJLEAN
Sat 7:00 PM ETGoals 0.5
FD
1.26
-380
flat13 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
83%
win
+9.3pp
L5
100%
5/5
L10
100%
7/7
L20
100%
7/7
SZN
100%
7/7
H2H
-
ACC
75%
n=19093
NHL · 7:00 PM ET
Sharks @ Red Wings
Cards
7
Top Alpha Score
69
PRESS
0
Sharp source
Model
Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| SJ | 44% | 2.30 |
| DET | 56% | 1.77 |
Total goals · market line 6.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 89% | 1.13 | 12% | 8.70 |
| 4.5 | 81% | 1.23 | 19% | 5.26 |
| 5.5 | 58% | 1.72 | 42% | 2.38 |
| 6.5 | 48% | 2.08 | 52% | 1.92 |
| 7.5 | 27% | 3.70 | 73% | 1.37 |
| 8.5 | 20% | 5.13 | 81% | 1.24 |
| 9.5 | 9% | 11.11 | 91% | 1.10 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 1.5 | 34% | 2.99 |
| DET | 2.5 | 23% | 4.35 |
| SJ | 1.5 | 25% | 4.08 |
| SJ | 2.5 | 16% | 6.45 |
Range calculator
Total lands overand undergoals
72% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.39: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 4.5 and under 9.5.
Injuries
From ESPN · refreshed every 30 minSJ
Questionable / DTD · 1
- Darnell NurseDTDday-to-day
Other · 2
- Quentin Musty?Musty (upper body) was put on non-roster injured reserve Monday, according to Curtis Pashelka of The San Jose Mercury News.
- Kyle Keyser?Keyser (upper body) was placed on non-roster injured reserve by the Sharks on Monday, Curtis Pashelka of The San Jose Mercury News reports.
DET
Other · 4
- Simon Edvinsson?Edvinsson (contract dispute) is on the Red Wings' injured, non-roster list, per the NHL media site Wednesday.
- J.T. Compher?Compher (undisclosed) will not be available versus the Devils on Tuesday, Ansar Khan of MLive.com reports.
- Mason Appleton?ir
- Marco Kasper?Kasper (upper body) has been given a week-to-week timetable for return.
Goals
Dylan Larkin
DETvsSJ
SJLEAN
Sat 7:00 PM ETGoals 0.5
FD
1.37
-270
flat13 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
77%
win
+9.2pp
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
4/5
L20
80%
4/5
SZN
80%
4/5
H2H
-
ACC
75%
n=19093
Viktor Arvidsson
DETvsSJ
SJWATCH
Sat 7:00 PM ETGoals 0.5
FD
1.32
-310
flat13 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
74%
win
+2.9pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
57%
4/7
L20
57%
4/7
SZN
57%
4/7
H2H
-
ACC
75%
n=19093
Show 4 more GoalsShow fewer
Will Smith
SJ@DET
DETWATCH
Sat 7:00 PM ETGoals 0.5
FD
1.33
-300
flat13 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
73%
win
+2.9pp
L5
80%
4/5
L10
71%
5/7
L20
71%
5/7
SZN
71%
5/7
H2H
-
ACC
75%
n=19093
Igor Chernyshov
SJ@DET
DETWATCH
Sat 7:00 PM ETGoals 0.5
FD
1.23
-440
flat13 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
79%
win
+2.9pp
L5
100%
5/5
L10
86%
6/7
L20
86%
6/7
SZN
86%
6/7
H2H
-
ACC
75%
n=19093
Macklin Celebrini
SJ@DET
DETPASS
Sat 7:00 PM ETGoals 0.5
FD
2.35
+135
flat13 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
37%
win
-2.8pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
2/5
L20
40%
2/5
SZN
40%
2/5
H2H
-
ACC
31%
n=4854
Alex DeBrincat
DETvsSJ
SJPASS
Sat 7:00 PM ETGoals 0.5
FD
2.45
+145
flat13 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
35%
win
-2.8pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
29%
2/7
L20
29%
2/7
SZN
29%
2/7
H2H
-
ACC
31%
n=4854