NHL · 7:00 PM ET

Islanders @ Maple Leafs

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Model

Prediction markets

Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 min

Moneyline

Team	Wins	Fair price
NYI	45%	2.20
TOR	55%	1.83

Total goals

Market line 6.5: over 47% (2.13), under 53% (1.89).

Show every line and the range calculator

Total goals · market line 6.5

Line	Over	Fair	Under	Fair
3.5	87%	1.15	13%	7.69
4.5	80%	1.26	20%	4.88
5.5	57%	1.75	43%	2.33
6.5	47%	2.13	53%	1.89
7.5	26%	3.85	74%	1.35
8.5	19%	5.26	81%	1.23
9.5	10%	10.53	91%	1.10

Spread: wins by more than

Team	By	Chance	Fair
TOR	1.5	34%	2.99
TOR	2.5	22%	4.55
NYI	1.5	25%	4.08
NYI	2.5	16%	6.45

Range calculator

Total lands overand undergoals

78% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.29: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 3.5 and under 9.5.

Injuries

From ESPN · refreshed every 30 min

NYI

Out · 1

Alexander RomanovOUT
out

Other · 1

Mathew Barzal?
Barzal (knee) will not join the Islanders for their two-game road trip, Andrew Gross of Newsday reports Thursday.

TOR

Questionable / DTD · 1

John TavaresDTD
Tavares sustained an undisclosed injury in the third period of Thursday's game versus the Sabres, and head coach Jim Hiller had no update on the center's status following the contest, David Alter of The Hockey News reports.

Other · 7

Miles Wood?
ir
Chris Tanev?
The Maple Leafs announced Thursday that Tanev (lower body) is considered week-to-week, Mark Masters of TSN reports.
Dakota Joshua?
Joshua (abdomen) has been moved from the non-roster list to long-term injured reserve, PuckPedia reports Wednesday.
Max Domi?
Domi (back) was transferred from the non-roster list to long-term injured reserve Wednesday, per PuckPedia.
Cade Webber?
ir-nr
Elvis Merzlikins?
Merzlikins is expected to miss 4-6 months to begin the 2026-27 regular season while recovering from a shoulder injury, per Luke Fox of Sportsnet.
William Villeneuve?
ir-nr

Points

Jake McCabe

TORvs

NYI

WATCH

7:00 PM ET

Points 0.5

1.36

-275

flat9 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

68%

win

-0.4pp

100%

5/5

L10

100%

8/8

L20

100%

8/8

SZN

100%

8/8

H2H

100%

1/1

ACC

59%

n=14190

Oliver Ekman-Larsson

TORvs

NYI

WATCH

7:00 PM ET

Points 0.5

1.32

-310

-10cFade9 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

69%

win

-2.7pp

100%

5/5

L10

100%

8/8

L20

100%

8/8

SZN

100%

8/8

H2H

100%

1/1

ACC

59%

n=14190

Morgan Rielly

TORvs

NYI

WATCH

7:00 PM ET

Points 0.5

1.41

-245

+10cSteam9 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

64%

win

-2.7pp

80%

4/5

L10

50%

4/8

L20

50%

4/8

SZN

50%

4/8

H2H

0/1

ACC

59%

n=14190

Show 14 more Points

Tony DeAngelo

NYI@

TOR

WATCH

7:00 PM ET

Points 0.5

1.41

-245

flat5 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

64%

win

-2.7pp

80%

4/5

L10

86%

6/7

L20

86%

6/7

SZN

86%

6/7

H2H

100%

1/1

ACC

59%

n=14190

Calum Ritchie

NYI@

TOR

WATCH

7:00 PM ET

Points 0.5

1.44

-225

flat5 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

63%

win

-2.4pp

80%

4/5

L10

71%

5/7

L20

71%

5/7

SZN

71%

5/7

H2H

100%

1/1

ACC

59%

n=14190

Simon Holmstrom

NYI@

TOR

WATCH

7:00 PM ET

Points 0.5

1.43

-230

flat5 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

63%

win

-2.2pp

100%

5/5

L10

86%

6/7

L20

86%

6/7

SZN

86%

6/7

H2H

100%

1/1

ACC

59%

n=14190

William Nylander

TORvs

NYI

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Points 0.5

1.48

-210

-10cFade9 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

60%

win

-3.0pp

60%

3/5

L10

63%

5/8

L20

63%

5/8

SZN

63%

5/8

H2H

0/1

ACC

51%

n=24686

Auston Matthews

TORvs

NYI

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Points 0.5

1.49

-205

-5c9 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

60%

win

-3.0pp

100%

5/5

L10

75%

6/8

L20

75%

6/8

SZN

75%

6/8

H2H

0/1

ACC

51%

n=24686

Kirill Marchenko

TORvs

NYI

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Points 0.5

1.61

-165

+5c9 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

55%

win

-3.0pp

100%

5/5

L10

88%

7/8

L20

88%

7/8

SZN

88%

7/8

H2H

0/1

ACC

51%

n=24686

Matthew Schaefer

NYI@

TOR

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Points 0.5

1.63

-160

flat5 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

55%

win

-3.4pp

60%

3/5

L10

57%

4/7

L20

57%

4/7

SZN

57%

4/7

H2H

0/1

ACC

51%

n=24686

Bo Horvat

NYI@

TOR

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Points 0.5

1.67

-150

flat5 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

53%

win

-3.0pp

80%

4/5

L10

86%

6/7

L20

86%

6/7

SZN

86%

6/7

H2H

100%

1/1

ACC

51%

n=24686

Kyle Palmieri

NYI@

TOR

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Points 0.5

1.83

-120

flat5 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

54%

win

+4.9pp

80%

4/5

L10

86%

6/7

L20

86%

6/7

SZN

86%

6/7

H2H

100%

1/1

ACC

59%

n=14190

Darren Raddysh

TORvs

NYI

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Points 0.5

1.87

-115

-5c9 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

44%

win

-4.9pp

60%

3/5

L10

50%

4/8

L20

50%

4/8

SZN

50%

4/8

H2H

0/1

ACC

51%

n=24686

Jack Roslovic

TORvs

NYI

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Points 0.5

2.00

+100

flat9 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

43%

win

-3.0pp

80%

4/5

L10

63%

5/8

L20

63%

5/8

SZN

63%

5/8

H2H

100%

1/1

ACC

51%

n=24686

Easton Cowan

TORvs

NYI

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Points 0.5

2.40

+140

-5c9 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

36%

win

-3.0pp

60%

3/5

L10

63%

5/8

L20

63%

5/8

SZN

63%

5/8

H2H

100%

1/1

ACC

51%

n=24686

Brayden Schenn

NYI@

TOR

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Points 0.5

1.91

-110

flat5 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

44%

win

-5.2pp

40%

2/5

L10

43%

3/7

L20

43%

3/7

SZN

43%

3/7

H2H

0/1

ACC

51%

n=24686

Matias Maccelli

NYI@

TOR

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Points 0.5

2.05

+105

flat5 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

42%

win

-3.0pp

100%

5/5

L10

71%

5/7

L20

71%

5/7

SZN

71%

5/7

H2H

0/1

ACC

51%

n=24686

Assists

Jake McCabe

TORvs

NYI

LEAN

7:00 PM ET

Assists 0.5

1.31

-320

+10cSteam9 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

80%

win

+8.0pp

100%

5/5

L10

100%

8/8

L20

100%

8/8

SZN

100%

8/8

H2H

100%

1/1

ACC

69%

n=25090

Kyle Palmieri

NYI@

TOR

LEAN

7:00 PM ET

Assists 0.5

1.40

-250

flat5 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

79%

win

+12.4pp

100%

5/5

L10

100%

7/7

L20

100%

7/7

SZN

100%

7/7

H2H

100%

1/1

ACC

69%

n=25090

Oliver Ekman-Larsson

TORvs

NYI

WATCH

7:00 PM ET

Assists 0.5

1.27

-370

-10cFade9 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

79%

win

+5.3pp

100%

5/5

L10

100%

8/8

L20

100%

8/8

SZN

100%

8/8

H2H

100%

1/1

ACC

69%

n=25090

Show 14 more Assists

Jack Roslovic

TORvs

NYI

WATCH

7:00 PM ET

Assists 0.5

1.32

-310

+15cSteam9 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

74%

win

+3.0pp

60%

3/5

L10

63%

5/8

L20

63%

5/8

SZN

63%

5/8

H2H

0/1

ACC

69%

n=25090

Morgan Rielly

TORvs

NYI

WATCH

7:00 PM ET

Assists 0.5

1.33

-300

flat9 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

73%

win

+3.0pp

80%

4/5

L10

50%

4/8

L20

50%

4/8

SZN

50%

4/8

H2H

0/1

ACC

69%

n=25090

Easton Cowan

TORvs

NYI

WATCH

7:00 PM ET

Assists 0.5

1.26

-390

+10cSteam9 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

78%

win

+3.0pp

80%

4/5

L10

63%

5/8

L20

63%

5/8

SZN

63%

5/8

H2H

0/1

ACC

69%

n=25090

Tony DeAngelo

NYI@

TOR

WATCH

7:00 PM ET

Assists 0.5

1.32

-310

flat5 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

74%

win

+3.0pp

80%

4/5

L10

86%

6/7

L20

86%

6/7

SZN

86%

6/7

H2H

100%

1/1

ACC

69%

n=25090

Brayden Schenn

NYI@

TOR

WATCH

7:00 PM ET

Assists 0.5

1.44

-225

flat5 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

68%

win

+3.0pp

80%

4/5

L10

71%

5/7

L20

71%

5/7

SZN

71%

5/7

H2H

100%

1/1

ACC

69%

n=25090

Calum Ritchie

NYI@

TOR

WATCH

7:00 PM ET

Assists 0.5

1.24

-425

flat5 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

79%

win

+3.0pp

100%

5/5

L10

86%

6/7

L20

86%

6/7

SZN

86%

6/7

H2H

100%

1/1

ACC

69%

n=25090

Simon Holmstrom

NYI@

TOR

WATCH

7:00 PM ET

Assists 0.5

1.22

-450

flat5 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

80%

win

+3.0pp

100%

5/5

L10

86%

6/7

L20

86%

6/7

SZN

86%

6/7

H2H

100%

1/1

ACC

69%

n=25090

William Nylander

TORvs

NYI

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Assists 0.5

1.95

-105

flat9 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

45%

win

-2.9pp

60%

3/5

L10

50%

4/8

L20

50%

4/8

SZN

50%

4/8

H2H

0/1

ACC

40%

n=13507

Auston Matthews

TORvs

NYI

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Assists 0.5

2.15

+115

flat9 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

40%

win

-2.9pp

80%

4/5

L10

50%

4/8

L20

50%

4/8

SZN

50%

4/8

H2H

0/1

ACC

40%

n=13507

Darren Raddysh

TORvs

NYI

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Assists 0.5

2.15

+115

flat9 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

40%

win

-2.9pp

60%

3/5

L10

50%

4/8

L20

50%

4/8

SZN

50%

4/8

H2H

0/1

ACC

40%

n=13507

Kirill Marchenko

TORvs

NYI

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Assists 0.5

2.30

+130

+5c9 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

37%

win

-2.9pp

80%

4/5

L10

63%

5/8

L20

63%

5/8

SZN

63%

5/8

H2H

0/1

ACC

40%

n=13507

Matthew Schaefer

NYI@

TOR

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Assists 0.5

1.95

-105

flat5 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

45%

win

-2.9pp

60%

3/5

L10

57%

4/7

L20

57%

4/7

SZN

57%

4/7

H2H

0/1

ACC

40%

n=13507

Bo Horvat

NYI@

TOR

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Assists 0.5

2.50

+150

flat5 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

35%

win

-2.9pp

40%

2/5

L10

43%

3/7

L20

43%

3/7

SZN

43%

3/7

H2H

100%

1/1

ACC

40%

n=13507

Matias Maccelli

NYI@

TOR

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Assists 0.5

2.75

+175

flat5 pulls

OVER

0.5

UNDER

0.5

31%

win

-2.9pp

80%

4/5

L10

57%

4/7

L20

57%

4/7

SZN

57%

4/7

H2H

0/1

ACC

40%

n=13507

Shots on Goal

Kyle Palmieri

NYI@

TOR

WATCH

7:00 PM ET

Shots on Goal 2.5

1.59

-170

flat5 pulls

OVER

2.5

UNDER

2.5

61%

win

+1.9pp

100%

5/5

L10

86%

6/7

L20

86%

6/7

SZN

86%

6/7

H2H

0/1

ACC

54%

n=12473

Jack Roslovic

TORvs

NYI

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Shots on Goal 1.5

1.56

-180

-15cFade9 pulls

OVER

1.5

UNDER

1.5

57%

win

-3.0pp

100%

5/5

L10

100%

8/8

L20

100%

8/8

SZN

100%

8/8

H2H

100%

1/1

ACC

52%

n=22813

Bo Horvat

NYI@

TOR

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Shots on Goal 2.5

1.63

-160

flat5 pulls

OVER

2.5

UNDER

2.5

54%

win

-3.0pp

80%

4/5

L10

86%

6/7

L20

86%

6/7

SZN

86%

6/7

H2H

100%

1/1

ACC

52%

n=22813

Show 9 more Shots on Goal

Darren Raddysh

TORvs

NYI

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Shots on Goal 2.5

1.77

-130

-5c9 pulls

OVER

2.5

UNDER

2.5

54%

win

+1.9pp

60%

3/5

L10

50%

4/8

L20

50%

4/8

SZN

50%

4/8

H2H

0/1

ACC

54%

n=12473

Auston Matthews

TORvs

NYI

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Shots on Goal 3.5

1.80

-125

flat9 pulls

OVER

3.5

UNDER

3.5

51%

win

-0.2pp

40%

2/5

L10

50%

4/8

L20

50%

4/8

SZN

50%

4/8

H2H

100%

1/1

ACC

54%

n=12473

Brayden Schenn

NYI@

TOR

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Shots on Goal 1.5

1.80

-125

flat5 pulls

OVER

1.5

UNDER

1.5

50%

win

-3.0pp

60%

3/5

L10

57%

4/7

L20

57%

4/7

SZN

57%

4/7

H2H

0/1

ACC

52%

n=22813

Victor Eklund

NYI@

TOR

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Shots on Goal 1.5

1.87

-115

flat5 pulls

OVER

1.5

UNDER

1.5

52%

win

+1.9pp

60%

3/5

L10

57%

4/7

L20

57%

4/7

SZN

57%

4/7

H2H

0/1

ACC

54%

n=12473

William Nylander

TORvs

NYI

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Shots on Goal 2.5

1.83

-120

+5c9 pulls

OVER

2.5

UNDER

2.5

48%

win

-3.0pp

80%

4/5

L10

63%

5/8

L20

63%

5/8

SZN

63%

5/8

H2H

0/1

ACC

52%

n=22813

Kirill Marchenko

TORvs

NYI

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Shots on Goal 2.5

1.95

-105

flat9 pulls

OVER

2.5

UNDER

2.5

49%

win

+1.9pp

40%

2/5

L10

38%

3/8

L20

38%

3/8

SZN

38%

3/8

H2H

0/1

ACC

54%

n=12473

Gavin McKenna

TORvs

NYI

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Shots on Goal 1.5

1.95

-105

flat9 pulls

OVER

1.5

UNDER

1.5

45%

win

-3.0pp

60%

3/5

L10

38%

3/8

L20

38%

3/8

SZN

38%

3/8

H2H

0/1

ACC

52%

n=22813

Matthew Schaefer

NYI@

TOR

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Shots on Goal 3.5

2.25

+125

flat5 pulls

OVER

3.5

UNDER

3.5

38%

win

-3.0pp

60%

3/5

L10

43%

3/7

L20

43%

3/7

SZN

43%

3/7

H2H

0/1

ACC

52%

n=22813

Matias Maccelli

NYI@

TOR

PASS

7:00 PM ET

Shots on Goal 1.5

1.91

-110

flat5 pulls

OVER

1.5

UNDER

1.5

45%

win

-3.0pp

60%

3/5

L10

57%

4/7

L20

57%

4/7

SZN

57%

4/7

H2H

0/1

ACC

52%

n=22813