Keenan Phillips
USA@MRSH
PASS
Tue 7:30 PM ETRushing Yards 54.5
FD
1.88
-114
flat8 pulls
OVER
54.5
UNDER
54.5
55%
win
+5.0pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
3/6
L20
50%
3/6
SZN
50%
3/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
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| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| USA | 56% | 1.77 |
| MRSH | 44% | 2.30 |
Market line 64.5: over 51% (1.98), under 50% (2.02).
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61.5 | 58% | 1.72 | 42% | 2.38 |
| 62.5 | 55% | 1.83 | 45% | 2.20 |
| 63.5 | 53% | 1.89 | 47% | 2.13 |
| 64.5 | 51% | 1.98 | 50% | 2.02 |
| 67.5 | 43% | 2.35 | 57% | 1.74 |
| 70.5 | 35% | 2.86 | 65% | 1.54 |
| 73.5 | 28% | 3.64 | 73% | 1.38 |
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 1.5 | 54% | 1.87 |
| USA | 2.5 | 51% | 1.98 |
| USA | 3.5 | 44% | 2.30 |
| USA | 4.5 | 41% | 2.44 |
| MRSH | 1.5 | 41% | 2.47 |
| MRSH | 2.5 | 39% | 2.60 |
| MRSH | 3.5 | 33% | 3.03 |
| MRSH | 4.5 | 32% | 3.17 |
69% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.46: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 49.5 and under 82.5.
21+. Available in CT and where legal. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET (1-800-697-3738) or chat at 1800myreset.org. In Connecticut, call 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat.
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