Roman Gagliano
MTSU@FIU
LEAN
Tue 7:00 PM ETPassing TDs 0.5
FD
1.42
-240
flat5 pulls
OVER
0.5
UNDER
0.5
71%
win
+5.0pp
L5
80%
4/5
L10
83%
5/6
L20
83%
5/6
SZN
83%
5/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
CFB · 7:00 PM ET
MTSU @ FIU
Cards
39
Top Alpha Score
63
PRESS
0
Sharp source
Model
Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| MTSU | 21% | 4.65 |
| FIU | 79% | 1.27 |
Total points
Market line 45.5: over 51% (1.98), under 50% (2.02).
Show every line and the range calculatorHide the ladders
Total points · market line 45.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.5 | 65% | 1.55 | 36% | 2.82 |
| 43.5 | 57% | 1.75 | 43% | 2.33 |
| 44.5 | 55% | 1.83 | 45% | 2.20 |
| 45.5 | 51% | 1.98 | 50% | 2.02 |
| 46.5 | 48% | 2.08 | 52% | 1.92 |
| 47.5 | 45% | 2.22 | 55% | 1.82 |
| 48.5 | 43% | 2.33 | 57% | 1.75 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| FIU | 1.5 | 76% | 1.32 |
| FIU | 2.5 | 74% | 1.35 |
| FIU | 3.5 | 70% | 1.44 |
| FIU | 4.5 | 67% | 1.50 |
| MTSU | 1.5 | 20% | 5.00 |
| MTSU | 2.5 | 19% | 5.41 |
| MTSU | 3.5 | 15% | 6.90 |
| MTSU | 4.5 | 13% | 7.69 |
Range calculator
Total lands overand underpoints
72% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.40: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 34.5 and under 67.5.
Passing TDs
Receptions
Maguire Anderson
FIUvsMTSU
LEAN
Tue 7:00 PM ETReceptions 5.5
FD
1.71
-140
flat5 pulls
OVER
5.5
UNDER
5.5
60%
win
+5.0pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
3/6
L20
50%
3/6
SZN
50%
3/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Cam'ron Lacy
MTSU@FIU
WATCH
Tue 7:00 PM ETReceptions 5.5
FD
1.71
-140
flat5 pulls
OVER
5.5
UNDER
5.5
58%
win
+3.2pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
33%
2/6
L20
33%
2/6
SZN
33%
2/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
James Resar
FIUvsMTSU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETReceptions 3.5
FD
1.65
-154
flat5 pulls
OVER
3.5
UNDER
3.5
52%
win
-5.0pp
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
4/5
L20
80%
4/5
SZN
80%
4/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Passing Yards
JJ Kohl
FIUvsMTSU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETPassing Yards 253.5
FD
1.88
-114
flat5 pulls
OVER
253.5
UNDER
253.5
55%
win
+5.0pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
33%
2/6
L20
33%
2/6
SZN
33%
2/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Roman Gagliano
MTSU@FIU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETPassing Yards 194.5
FD
1.88
-114
flat5 pulls
OVER
194.5
UNDER
194.5
52%
win
+2.2pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
67%
4/6
L20
67%
4/6
SZN
67%
4/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Receiving Yards
Maguire Anderson
FIUvsMTSU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETReceiving Yards 80.5
FD
1.88
-114
flat5 pulls
OVER
80.5
UNDER
80.5
55%
win
+5.0pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
33%
2/6
L20
33%
2/6
SZN
33%
2/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
JoJo Stone
FIUvsMTSU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETReceiving Yards 29.5
FD
1.88
-114
flat5 pulls
OVER
29.5
UNDER
29.5
55%
win
+5.0pp
L5
100%
3/3
L10
100%
3/3
L20
100%
3/3
SZN
100%
3/3
H2H
-
ACC
-
James Resar
FIUvsMTSU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETReceiving Yards 27.5
FD
1.88
-114
flat5 pulls
OVER
27.5
UNDER
27.5
55%
win
+5.0pp
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
4/5
L20
80%
4/5
SZN
80%
4/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Show 5 more Receiving YardsShow fewer
Koraun Perdue
MTSU@FIU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETReceiving Yards 17.5
FD
1.88
-114
flat5 pulls
OVER
17.5
UNDER
17.5
55%
win
+5.0pp
L5
50%
2/4
L10
50%
2/4
L20
50%
2/4
SZN
50%
2/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Cam'ron Lacy
MTSU@FIU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETReceiving Yards 51.5
FD
1.88
-114
flat5 pulls
OVER
51.5
UNDER
51.5
54%
win
+3.9pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
3/6
L20
50%
3/6
SZN
50%
3/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Terrence Brown
MTSU@FIU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETReceiving Yards 16.5
FD
1.88
-114
flat5 pulls
OVER
16.5
UNDER
16.5
53%
win
+2.8pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
2/5
L20
40%
2/5
SZN
40%
2/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Greg Gaines III
FIUvsMTSU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETReceiving Yards 24.5
FD
1.88
-114
flat5 pulls
OVER
24.5
UNDER
24.5
51%
win
+0.9pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
3/5
L20
60%
3/5
SZN
60%
3/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Neo Clifton
MTSU@FIU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETReceiving Yards 28.5
FD
1.88
-114
flat5 pulls
OVER
28.5
UNDER
28.5
50%
win
+0.2pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
33%
2/6
L20
33%
2/6
SZN
33%
2/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Rushing Yards
Antonio Martin
MTSU@FIU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETRushing Yards 55.5
FD
1.88
-114
flat5 pulls
OVER
55.5
UNDER
55.5
55%
win
+5.0pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
3/6
L20
50%
3/6
SZN
50%
3/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Devonte Lyons
FIUvsMTSU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETRushing Yards 48.5
FD
1.88
-114
flat5 pulls
OVER
48.5
UNDER
48.5
54%
win
+4.3pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
67%
4/6
L20
67%
4/6
SZN
67%
4/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Terrence Brown
MTSU@FIU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETRushing Yards 22.5
FD
1.88
-114
flat5 pulls
OVER
22.5
UNDER
22.5
55%
win
+5.0pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
3/5
L20
60%
3/5
SZN
60%
3/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Show 3 more Rushing YardsShow fewer
JJ Kohl
FIUvsMTSU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETRushing Yards 7.5
FD
1.88
-114
flat5 pulls
OVER
7.5
UNDER
7.5
54%
win
+3.9pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
33%
2/6
L20
33%
2/6
SZN
33%
2/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Anthony Carrie
FIUvsMTSU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETRushing Yards 40.5
FD
1.88
-114
flat5 pulls
OVER
40.5
UNDER
40.5
50%
win
+0.1pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
3/6
L20
50%
3/6
SZN
50%
3/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Roman Gagliano
MTSU@FIU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETRushing Yards 11.5
FD
1.88
-114
flat5 pulls
OVER
11.5
UNDER
11.5
51%
win
+1.3pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
67%
4/6
L20
67%
4/6
SZN
67%
4/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Anytime TD
Devonte Lyons
FIUvsMTSU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
1.87
-115
flat5 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
40%
win
-5.0pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
17%
1/6
L20
17%
1/6
SZN
17%
1/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Anthony Carrie
FIUvsMTSU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
1.91
-110
flat5 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
39%
win
-5.0pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
17%
1/6
L20
17%
1/6
SZN
17%
1/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Maguire Anderson
FIUvsMTSU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
1.95
-105
flat5 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
48%
win
+5.0pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
3/6
L20
50%
3/6
SZN
50%
3/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Show 14 more Anytime TDShow fewer
JJ Kohl
FIUvsMTSU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
2.50
+150
flat5 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
28%
win
-5.0pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
17%
1/6
L20
17%
1/6
SZN
17%
1/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Antonio Martin
MTSU@FIU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
2.50
+150
flat5 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
28%
win
-5.0pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
17%
1/6
L20
17%
1/6
SZN
17%
1/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Cam'ron Lacy
MTSU@FIU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
2.85
+185
flat5 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
34%
win
+5.0pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
67%
4/6
L20
67%
4/6
SZN
67%
4/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Roman Gagliano
MTSU@FIU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
3.30
+230
flat5 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
30%
win
+4.9pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
33%
2/6
L20
33%
2/6
SZN
33%
2/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
James Resar
FIUvsMTSU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
3.90
+290
flat5 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
16%
win
-5.0pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
1/5
L20
20%
1/5
SZN
20%
1/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Neo Clifton
MTSU@FIU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
4.20
+320
flat5 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
25%
win
+5.0pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
33%
2/6
L20
33%
2/6
SZN
33%
2/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Terrence Brown
MTSU@FIU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
4.40
+340
flat5 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
14%
win
-5.0pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
1/5
L20
20%
1/5
SZN
20%
1/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
JoJo Stone
FIUvsMTSU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
4.40
+340
flat5 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
23%
win
+3.8pp
L5
33%
1/3
L10
33%
1/3
L20
33%
1/3
SZN
33%
1/3
H2H
-
ACC
-
Greg Gaines III
FIUvsMTSU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
4.70
+370
flat5 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
13%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/5
L20
0%
0/5
SZN
0%
0/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Kyle McNeal
FIUvsMTSU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
5.40
+440
flat5 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
10%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/4
L10
0%
0/4
L20
0%
0/4
SZN
0%
0/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Eric Nelson
FIUvsMTSU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
6.00
+500
flat5 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
9%
win
-4.4pp
L5
0%
0/4
L10
0%
0/4
L20
0%
0/4
SZN
0%
0/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Ziyon Butler
MTSU@FIU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
6.50
+550
flat5 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
8%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/3
L10
0%
0/3
L20
0%
0/3
SZN
0%
0/3
H2H
-
ACC
-
Koraun Perdue
MTSU@FIU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
7.00
+600
flat5 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
17%
win
+5.0pp
L5
50%
2/4
L10
50%
2/4
L20
50%
2/4
SZN
50%
2/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Markus Allen
MTSU@FIU
PASS
Tue 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
7.50
+650
flat5 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
16%
win
+5.0pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
1/5
L20
20%
1/5
SZN
20%
1/5
H2H
-
ACC
-