Jaheim Merriweather
TROY@UL
PASS
Sat 5:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
2.15
+115
flat27 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
44%
win
+5.0pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
2/5
L20
40%
2/5
SZN
40%
2/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
CFB · 5:00 PM ET
Troy @ Louisiana
Cards
18
Top Alpha Score
0
PRESS
0
Sharp source
Model
Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| TROY | 42% | 2.41 |
| UL | 59% | 1.71 |
Total points · market line 49.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.5 | 57% | 1.75 | 43% | 2.33 |
| 47.5 | 55% | 1.82 | 45% | 2.22 |
| 48.5 | 53% | 1.90 | 48% | 2.11 |
| 49.5 | 50% | 2.02 | 51% | 1.98 |
| 50.5 | 47% | 2.15 | 54% | 1.87 |
| 51.5 | 43% | 2.33 | 57% | 1.75 |
| 52.5 | 40% | 2.50 | 60% | 1.67 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| UL | 1.5 | 57% | 1.74 |
| UL | 2.5 | 56% | 1.80 |
| UL | 3.5 | 49% | 2.06 |
| UL | 4.5 | 46% | 2.20 |
| TROY | 1.5 | 38% | 2.67 |
| TROY | 2.5 | 36% | 2.78 |
| TROY | 3.5 | 31% | 3.28 |
| TROY | 4.5 | 28% | 3.57 |
Range calculator
Total lands overand underpoints
76% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.32: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 34.5 and under 70.5.
Anytime TD
Steven Blanco
ULvsTROY
PASS
Sat 5:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
2.20
+120
flat27 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
37%
win
-0.6pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
67%
4/6
L20
67%
4/6
SZN
67%
4/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Gavin Griffin
TROY@UL
PASS
Sat 5:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
2.35
+135
flat27 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
30%
win
-5.0pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
1/5
L20
20%
1/5
SZN
20%
1/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Show 15 more Anytime TDShow fewer
Anthony Reagan Jr.
ULvsTROY
PASS
Sat 5:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
2.55
+155
flat27 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
28%
win
-4.4pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
33%
2/6
L20
33%
2/6
SZN
33%
2/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Goose Crowder
TROY@UL
PASS
Sat 5:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
2.55
+155
flat27 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
32%
win
-0.2pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
1/5
L20
20%
1/5
SZN
20%
1/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
JJ Garner
ULvsTROY
PASS
Sat 5:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
2.65
+165
flat27 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
36%
win
+5.0pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
3/6
L20
50%
3/6
SZN
50%
3/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Jordan Lovett
TROY@UL
PASS
Sat 5:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
2.75
+175
flat27 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
30%
win
-0.8pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
1/5
L20
20%
1/5
SZN
20%
1/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
TK Keyes
TROY@UL
PASS
Sat 5:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
2.80
+180
flat27 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
35%
win
+5.0pp
L5
75%
3/4
L10
75%
3/4
L20
75%
3/4
SZN
75%
3/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Howard Kinchen
TROY@UL
PASS
Sat 5:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
3.90
+290
flat27 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
26%
win
+5.0pp
L5
67%
2/3
L10
67%
2/3
L20
67%
2/3
SZN
67%
2/3
H2H
-
ACC
-
Noreel White
TROY@UL
PASS
Sat 5:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
4.00
+300
flat27 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
16%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/5
L20
0%
0/5
SZN
0%
0/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Russell Babineaux
ULvsTROY
PASS
Sat 5:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
4.20
+320
flat27 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
15%
win
-5.0pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
1/5
L20
20%
1/5
SZN
20%
1/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
KeDarius Wade
ULvsTROY
PASS
Sat 5:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
4.50
+350
flat27 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
14%
win
-5.0pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
1/5
L20
20%
1/5
SZN
20%
1/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Jace Petty
TROY@UL
PASS
Sat 5:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
4.60
+360
flat27 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
13%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/5
L20
0%
0/5
SZN
0%
0/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Trenton Chaney
ULvsTROY
PASS
Sat 5:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
5.00
+400
flat27 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
13%
win
-3.5pp
L5
25%
1/4
L10
25%
1/4
L20
25%
1/4
SZN
25%
1/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Kristion Brooks
ULvsTROY
PASS
Sat 5:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
5.75
+475
flat27 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
9%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/6
L20
0%
0/6
SZN
0%
0/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Mojo Dortch
TROY@UL
PASS
Sat 5:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
6.00
+500
flat27 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
9%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/3
L10
0%
0/3
L20
0%
0/3
SZN
0%
0/3
H2H
-
ACC
-
Brock Chappell
ULvsTROY
PASS
Sat 5:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
7.50
+650
flat27 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
7%
win
-4.2pp
L5
0%
0/4
L10
0%
0/4
L20
0%
0/4
SZN
0%
0/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Caden Jensen
ULvsTROY
PASS
Sat 5:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
8.00
+700
flat27 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
6%
win
-4.8pp
L5
0%
0/3
L10
0%
0/3
L20
0%
0/3
SZN
0%
0/3
H2H
-
ACC
-