Victor Rosa
OHIO@SAC
PASS
Sat 10:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
1.36
-280
flat15 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
56%
win
-5.0pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
3/6
L20
50%
3/6
SZN
50%
3/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
CFB · 10:00 PM ET
Ohio @ Sacramento St
Cards
18
Top Alpha Score
31
PRESS
0
Sharp source
Model
Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| OHIO | 86% | 1.17 |
| SAC | 15% | 6.90 |
Total points · market line 47.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38.5 | 73% | 1.37 | 27% | 3.70 |
| 41.5 | 64% | 1.57 | 37% | 2.74 |
| 44.5 | 56% | 1.79 | 44% | 2.27 |
| 47.5 | 48% | 2.11 | 53% | 1.90 |
| 48.5 | 46% | 2.20 | 54% | 1.83 |
| 49.5 | 43% | 2.35 | 57% | 1.74 |
| 50.5 | 41% | 2.47 | 60% | 1.68 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO | 1.5 | 84% | 1.19 |
| OHIO | 2.5 | 83% | 1.20 |
| OHIO | 3.5 | 79% | 1.27 |
| OHIO | 4.5 | 77% | 1.31 |
| SAC | 1.5 | 14% | 7.41 |
| SAC | 2.5 | 12% | 8.33 |
| SAC | 3.5 | 10% | 10.53 |
| SAC | 4.5 | 9% | 11.76 |
Range calculator
Total lands overand underpoints
72% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.39: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 35.5 and under 68.5.
Anytime TD
Duncan Brune
OHIO@SAC
PASS
Sat 10:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
1.74
-135
flat15 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
43%
win
-5.0pp
L5
25%
1/4
L10
25%
1/4
L20
25%
1/4
SZN
25%
1/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Nick Poulos
OHIO@SAC
PASS
Sat 10:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
1.91
-110
flat15 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
39%
win
-5.0pp
L5
33%
1/3
L10
33%
1/3
L20
33%
1/3
SZN
33%
1/3
H2H
-
ACC
-
Show 15 more Anytime TDShow fewer
Riley Neer
OHIO@SAC
PASS
Sat 10:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
2.40
+140
flat15 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
40%
win
+5.0pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
67%
4/6
L20
67%
4/6
SZN
67%
4/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Matt Coleman
SACvsOHIO
PASS
Sat 10:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
2.55
+155
flat15 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
38%
win
+5.0pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
33%
2/6
L20
33%
2/6
SZN
33%
2/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Isaiah Ene
SACvsOHIO
PASS
Sat 10:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
2.90
+190
flat15 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
24%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/5
L10
17%
1/6
L20
17%
1/6
SZN
17%
1/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Daniel Swinney
SACvsOHIO
PASS
Sat 10:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
3.25
+225
flat15 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
21%
win
-5.0pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
1/5
L20
20%
1/5
SZN
20%
1/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Dom Dorwart
OHIO@SAC
PASS
Sat 10:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
3.25
+225
flat15 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
31%
win
+5.0pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
3/6
L20
50%
3/6
SZN
50%
3/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Onterrio Smith Jr.
SACvsOHIO
PASS
Sat 10:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
3.45
+245
flat15 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
19%
win
-5.0pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
17%
1/6
L20
17%
1/6
SZN
17%
1/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Irving Brown
OHIO@SAC
PASS
Sat 10:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
4.30
+330
-10cFade15 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
14%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/4
L10
0%
0/4
L20
0%
0/4
SZN
0%
0/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Preston Bowman
OHIO@SAC
PASS
Sat 10:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
4.30
+330
flat15 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
21%
win
+1.4pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
17%
1/6
L20
17%
1/6
SZN
17%
1/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Mike Taylor Jr.
OHIO@SAC
PASS
Sat 10:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
4.40
+340
flat15 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
14%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/4
L10
0%
0/4
L20
0%
0/4
SZN
0%
0/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Cincere Rhaney
SACvsOHIO
PASS
Sat 10:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
4.60
+360
-10cFade15 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
13%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/5
L20
0%
0/5
SZN
0%
0/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Jamar Curtis
SACvsOHIO
PASS
Sat 10:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
4.80
+380
flat15 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
22%
win
+5.0pp
L5
25%
1/4
L10
25%
1/4
L20
25%
1/4
SZN
25%
1/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Eian Pugh
OHIO@SAC
PASS
Sat 10:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
8.00
+700
-50cFade15 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
5%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/1
L10
0%
0/1
L20
0%
0/1
SZN
0%
0/1
H2H
-
ACC
-
Jackson Sharman
SACvsOHIO
PASS
Sat 10:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
8.50
+750
flat15 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
5%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/5
L20
0%
0/5
SZN
0%
0/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Jake Furtney
OHIO@SAC
PASS
Sat 10:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
9.00
+800
flat15 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
4%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/4
L10
0%
0/4
L20
0%
0/4
SZN
0%
0/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Andrew Metzger
OHIO@SAC
PASS
Sat 10:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
14.00
+1300
flat15 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
1%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/3
L10
0%
0/3
L20
0%
0/3
SZN
0%
0/3
H2H
-
ACC
-