Adjatay Dabbs
TOL@EMU
PASS
Sat 3:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
2.20
+120
flat23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
41%
win
-0.8pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
3/6
L20
50%
3/6
SZN
50%
3/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
CFB · 3:30 PM ET
Toledo @ E Michigan
Cards
18
Top Alpha Score
0
PRESS
0
Sharp source
Model
Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| TOL | 71% | 1.42 |
| EMU | 30% | 3.39 |
Total points · market line 52.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.5 | 63% | 1.60 | 38% | 2.67 |
| 50.5 | 56% | 1.77 | 44% | 2.30 |
| 51.5 | 54% | 1.87 | 47% | 2.15 |
| 52.5 | 51% | 1.98 | 50% | 2.02 |
| 53.5 | 49% | 2.06 | 52% | 1.94 |
| 54.5 | 46% | 2.20 | 54% | 1.83 |
| 55.5 | 42% | 2.41 | 59% | 1.71 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | 1.5 | 68% | 1.48 |
| TOL | 2.5 | 65% | 1.55 |
| TOL | 3.5 | 61% | 1.65 |
| TOL | 4.5 | 57% | 1.74 |
| EMU | 1.5 | 29% | 3.51 |
| EMU | 2.5 | 26% | 3.85 |
| EMU | 3.5 | 23% | 4.44 |
| EMU | 4.5 | 21% | 4.88 |
Range calculator
Total lands overand underpoints
74% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.36: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 38.5 and under 74.5.
Anytime TD
Amareon Blue
EMUvsTOL
PASS
Sat 3:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
2.25
+125
flat23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
41%
win
-0.9pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
43%
3/7
L20
43%
3/7
SZN
43%
3/7
H2H
-
ACC
-
Braydon Bennett
EMUvsTOL
PASS
Sat 3:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
2.50
+150
flat23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
32%
win
-5.0pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
29%
2/7
L20
29%
2/7
SZN
29%
2/7
H2H
-
ACC
-
Show 15 more Anytime TDShow fewer
Joey Mattord
EMUvsTOL
PASS
Sat 3:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
2.65
+165
flat23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
27%
win
-5.0pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
14%
1/7
L20
14%
1/7
SZN
14%
1/7
H2H
-
ACC
-
Autavius Ison
TOL@EMU
PASS
Sat 3:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
2.65
+165
flat23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
27%
win
-5.0pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
17%
1/6
L20
17%
1/6
SZN
17%
1/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Harold Mack
EMUvsTOL
PASS
Sat 3:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
2.75
+175
flat23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
36%
win
+5.0pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
3/6
L20
50%
3/6
SZN
50%
3/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Benson Prosper
EMUvsTOL
PASS
Sat 3:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
2.95
+195
flat23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
23%
win
-5.0pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
17%
1/6
L20
17%
1/6
SZN
17%
1/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Noah Kim
EMUvsTOL
PASS
Sat 3:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
3.80
+280
flat23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
35%
win
+5.0pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
43%
3/7
L20
43%
3/7
SZN
43%
3/7
H2H
-
ACC
-
Joshua Long
EMUvsTOL
PASS
Sat 3:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
4.20
+320
flat23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
21%
win
+0.3pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
14%
1/7
L20
14%
1/7
SZN
14%
1/7
H2H
-
ACC
-
Bryson Hammer
TOL@EMU
PASS
Sat 3:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
4.30
+330
flat23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
28%
win
+5.0pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
1/5
L20
20%
1/5
SZN
20%
1/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Nick Devereaux
EMUvsTOL
PASS
Sat 3:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
4.40
+340
flat23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
33%
win
+5.0pp
L5
50%
2/4
L10
50%
2/4
L20
50%
2/4
SZN
50%
2/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
John Alan Richter
TOL@EMU
PASS
Sat 3:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
4.60
+360
flat23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
14%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/6
L20
0%
0/6
SZN
0%
0/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Rico Bond
TOL@EMU
PASS
Sat 3:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
4.60
+360
flat23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
13%
win
-5.0pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
1/5
L20
20%
1/5
SZN
20%
1/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Daryl Barnett Jr.
TOL@EMU
PASS
Sat 3:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
4.90
+390
flat23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
18%
win
-3.8pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
33%
2/6
L20
33%
2/6
SZN
33%
2/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Terrell Crosby Jr.
TOL@EMU
PASS
Sat 3:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
5.00
+400
flat23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
12%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/4
L10
0%
0/4
L20
0%
0/4
SZN
0%
0/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Kozy Isaac
EMUvsTOL
PASS
Sat 3:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
7.00
+600
flat23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
17%
win
+5.0pp
L5
50%
2/4
L10
50%
2/4
L20
50%
2/4
SZN
50%
2/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Antonio Floyd
EMUvsTOL
PASS
Sat 3:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
7.00
+600
flat23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
7%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/4
L10
0%
0/4
L20
0%
0/4
SZN
0%
0/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Sam Lee
TOL@EMU
PASS
Sat 3:30 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
7.00
+600
flat23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
7%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/4
L10
0%
0/4
L20
0%
0/4
SZN
0%
0/4
H2H
-
ACC
-