DJ Scott
NDSUvsNEV
PASS
Sat 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
1.59
-170
flat34 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
50%
win
-5.0pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
3/6
L20
50%
3/6
SZN
50%
3/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
CFB · 7:00 PM ET
Nevada @ N Dakota St
Cards
17
Top Alpha Score
12
PRESS
0
Sharp source
Model
Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| NEV | 15% | 6.90 |
| NDSU | 86% | 1.17 |
Total points · market line 41.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32.5 | 78% | 1.28 | 22% | 4.55 |
| 35.5 | 70% | 1.43 | 30% | 3.33 |
| 38.5 | 62% | 1.61 | 38% | 2.63 |
| 41.5 | 54% | 1.87 | 47% | 2.15 |
| 44.5 | 45% | 2.25 | 55% | 1.80 |
| 45.5 | 42% | 2.41 | 59% | 1.71 |
| 46.5 | 40% | 2.50 | 60% | 1.67 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| NDSU | 1.5 | 83% | 1.20 |
| NDSU | 2.5 | 82% | 1.23 |
| NDSU | 3.5 | 78% | 1.28 |
| NDSU | 4.5 | 76% | 1.32 |
| NEV | 1.5 | 14% | 7.14 |
| NEV | 2.5 | 13% | 8.00 |
| NEV | 3.5 | 11% | 9.52 |
| NEV | 4.5 | 9% | 11.11 |
Range calculator
Total lands overand underpoints
76% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.32: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 29.5 and under 62.5.
Anytime TD
Myles Mitchell
NDSUvsNEV
PASS
Sat 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
1.91
-110
-60cFade34 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
47%
win
-3.2pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
2/5
L20
40%
2/5
SZN
40%
2/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Nathan Hayes
NDSUvsNEV
PASS
Sat 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
2.10
+110
-15cFade34 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
40%
win
-5.0pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
33%
2/6
L20
33%
2/6
SZN
33%
2/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Show 14 more Anytime TDShow fewer
Dominic Kelley
NEV@NDSU
PASS
Sat 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
2.25
+125
-15cFade34 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
44%
win
+5.0pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
3/5
L20
60%
3/5
SZN
60%
3/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Herschel Turner
NEV@NDSU
PASS
Sat 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
3.00
+200
-60cFade34 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
37%
win
+5.0pp
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
3/5
L20
60%
3/5
SZN
60%
3/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Mekhi Collins
NDSUvsNEV
PASS
Sat 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
3.50
+250
flat34 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
24%
win
-3.9pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
33%
2/6
L20
33%
2/6
SZN
33%
2/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Reis Kessel
NDSUvsNEV
PASS
Sat 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
4.30
+330
flat34 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
19%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/5
L10
17%
1/6
L20
17%
1/6
SZN
17%
1/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Donnie Cheers
NEV@NDSU
PASS
Sat 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
8.50
+750
-350cFade34 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
21%
win
+4.8pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
1/5
L20
20%
1/5
SZN
20%
1/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Carter Jones
NEV@NDSU
PASS
Sat 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
5.25
+425
flat34 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
13%
win
-5.0pp
L5
25%
1/4
L10
25%
1/4
L20
25%
1/4
SZN
25%
1/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Barry Kpeenu
NDSUvsNEV
PASS
Sat 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
6.50
+550
flat34 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
8%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/4
L10
0%
0/4
L20
0%
0/4
SZN
0%
0/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Damien Morgan
NEV@NDSU
PASS
Sat 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
6.50
+550
flat34 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
8%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/5
L20
0%
0/5
SZN
0%
0/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Logan Conklin
NDSUvsNEV
PASS
Sat 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
7.50
+650
flat34 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
13%
win
+2.2pp
L5
33%
1/3
L10
33%
1/3
L20
33%
1/3
SZN
33%
1/3
H2H
-
ACC
-
Gary Givens III
NEV@NDSU
PASS
Sat 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
8.50
+750
flat34 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
5%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/4
L10
0%
0/4
L20
0%
0/4
SZN
0%
0/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Marshaun Brown
NEV@NDSU
PASS
Sat 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
14.00
+1300
-450cFade34 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
14%
win
+5.0pp
L5
25%
1/4
L10
25%
1/4
L20
25%
1/4
SZN
25%
1/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Ky Woods
NEV@NDSU
PASS
Sat 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
10.50
+950
flat34 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
4%
win
-3.8pp
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/5
L20
0%
0/5
SZN
0%
0/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Isiah St. Romain
NDSUvsNEV
PASS
Sat 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
11.00
+1000
flat34 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
14%
win
+5.0pp
L5
0%
0/3
L10
0%
0/3
L20
0%
0/3
SZN
0%
0/3
H2H
-
ACC
-
DJ Asiasi
NEV@NDSU
PASS
Sat 7:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
14.00
+1300
-100cFade26 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
6%
win
+0.4pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
1/5
L20
20%
1/5
SZN
20%
1/5
H2H
-
ACC
-