Jackson Gutierrez
NAVY@UTSA
LEAN
Sat 8:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
1.65
-155
-15cFade23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
62%
win
+5.0pp
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
4/5
L20
80%
4/5
SZN
80%
4/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
CFB · 8:00 PM ET
Navy @ UTSA
Cards
15
Top Alpha Score
65
PRESS
0
Sharp source
Model
Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| NAVY | 30% | 3.33 |
| UTSA | 70% | 1.43 |
Total points · market line 54.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.5 | 74% | 1.36 | 27% | 3.77 |
| 48.5 | 66% | 1.53 | 35% | 2.90 |
| 51.5 | 57% | 1.74 | 43% | 2.35 |
| 54.5 | 50% | 2.02 | 51% | 1.98 |
| 55.5 | 47% | 2.15 | 54% | 1.87 |
| 56.5 | 44% | 2.30 | 56% | 1.77 |
| 57.5 | 42% | 2.41 | 59% | 1.71 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTSA | 1.5 | 69% | 1.46 |
| UTSA | 2.5 | 66% | 1.52 |
| UTSA | 3.5 | 60% | 1.68 |
| UTSA | 4.5 | 57% | 1.74 |
| NAVY | 1.5 | 28% | 3.64 |
| NAVY | 2.5 | 27% | 3.70 |
| NAVY | 3.5 | 22% | 4.55 |
| NAVY | 4.5 | 19% | 5.26 |
Range calculator
Total lands overand underpoints
77% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.31: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 39.5 and under 78.5.
Anytime TD
Will Henderson III
UTSAvsNAVY
PASS
Sat 8:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
1.51
-195
-25cFade23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
52%
win
-5.0pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
3/6
L20
50%
3/6
SZN
50%
3/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Michael Barrow
NAVY@UTSA
PASS
Sat 8:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
2.45
+145
-20cFade23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
31%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/5
L20
0%
0/5
SZN
0%
0/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Show 12 more Anytime TDShow fewer
Brandon High Jr.
UTSAvsNAVY
PASS
Sat 8:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
2.65
+165
-5c23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
32%
win
-5.0pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
33%
2/6
L20
33%
2/6
SZN
33%
2/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Owen McCown
UTSAvsNAVY
PASS
Sat 8:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
2.85
+185
-10cFade23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
25%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/6
L20
0%
0/6
SZN
0%
0/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
David Amador II
UTSAvsNAVY
PASS
Sat 8:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
3.40
+240
-10cFade23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
25%
win
-1.8pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
17%
1/6
L20
17%
1/6
SZN
17%
1/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
Mekhi Anderson
UTSAvsNAVY
PASS
Sat 8:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
3.50
+250
-20cFade23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
24%
win
-0.1pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
33%
2/6
L20
33%
2/6
SZN
33%
2/6
H2H
-
ACC
-
DJ Allen Jr.
UTSAvsNAVY
PASS
Sat 8:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
4.20
+320
-20cFade23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
26%
win
+5.0pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
2/5
L20
40%
2/5
SZN
40%
2/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Jordan Collins
NAVY@UTSA
PASS
Sat 8:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
7.00
+600
-260cFade23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
20%
win
+5.0pp
L5
50%
1/2
L10
50%
1/2
L20
50%
1/2
SZN
50%
1/2
H2H
-
ACC
-
Truman Brasfield
NAVY@UTSA
PASS
Sat 8:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
5.60
+460
-20cFade23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
20%
win
+5.0pp
L5
67%
2/3
L10
67%
2/3
L20
67%
2/3
SZN
67%
2/3
H2H
-
ACC
-
Miles Campbell
UTSAvsNAVY
PASS
Sat 8:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
10.50
+950
-400cFade23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
5%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/3
L10
0%
0/3
L20
0%
0/3
SZN
0%
0/3
H2H
-
ACC
-
Isaiah Bryant
NAVY@UTSA
PASS
Sat 8:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
5.75
+475
-25cFade20 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
9%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/3
L10
0%
0/3
L20
0%
0/3
SZN
0%
0/3
H2H
-
ACC
-
Christian Cromer
NAVY@UTSA
PASS
Sat 8:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
6.50
+550
flat20 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
8%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/3
L10
0%
0/3
L20
0%
0/3
SZN
0%
0/3
H2H
-
ACC
-
Jamel Hardy Jr.
UTSAvsNAVY
PASS
Sat 8:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
7.50
+650
flat20 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
7%
win
-4.2pp
L5
0%
0/3
L10
0%
0/3
L20
0%
0/3
SZN
0%
0/3
H2H
-
ACC
-
Joshua Guerin
NAVY@UTSA
PASS
Sat 8:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
12.00
+1100
flat20 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
2%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/1
L10
0%
0/1
L20
0%
0/1
SZN
0%
0/1
H2H
-
ACC
-