Cale Hellums
ARMYvsFAU
LEAN
Sat 12:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
1.43
-230
-420cFade23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
74%
win
+5.0pp
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
4/5
L20
80%
4/5
SZN
80%
4/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
CFB · 12:00 PM ET
FAU @ Army
Cards
10
Top Alpha Score
74
PRESS
0
Sharp source
Model
Prediction markets
Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 minMoneyline
| Team | Wins | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| FAU | 47% | 2.15 |
| ARMY | 54% | 1.87 |
Total points · market line 54.5
| Line | Over | Fair | Under | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.5 | 70% | 1.44 | 31% | 3.28 |
| 50.5 | 63% | 1.60 | 38% | 2.67 |
| 53.5 | 56% | 1.80 | 44% | 2.25 |
| 54.5 | 53% | 1.90 | 48% | 2.11 |
| 55.5 | 48% | 2.11 | 53% | 1.90 |
| 56.5 | 47% | 2.15 | 54% | 1.87 |
| 57.5 | 44% | 2.30 | 56% | 1.77 |
Spread: wins by more than
| Team | By | Chance | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARMY | 1.5 | 51% | 1.98 |
| ARMY | 2.5 | 49% | 2.06 |
| ARMY | 3.5 | 41% | 2.47 |
| ARMY | 4.5 | 39% | 2.60 |
| FAU | 1.5 | 46% | 2.20 |
| FAU | 2.5 | 43% | 2.35 |
| FAU | 3.5 | 37% | 2.74 |
| FAU | 4.5 | 34% | 2.99 |
Range calculator
Total lands overand underpoints
72% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.40: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 41.5 and under 77.5.
Anytime TD
Ethan Ervin
FAU@ARMY
PASS
Sat 12:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
1.87
-115
-40cFade23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
44%
win
-5.0pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
2/5
L20
40%
2/5
SZN
40%
2/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Easton Messer
FAU@ARMY
PASS
Sat 12:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
2.40
+140
-35cFade23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
41%
win
+2.3pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
2/5
L20
40%
2/5
SZN
40%
2/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Show 7 more Anytime TDShow fewer
Leonard Farrow
FAU@ARMY
PASS
Sat 12:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
3.90
+290
-165cFade23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
37%
win
+5.0pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
2/5
L20
40%
2/5
SZN
40%
2/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Dominique Henry
FAU@ARMY
PASS
Sat 12:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
FD
2.45
+145
-10cFade23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
39%
win
+4.4pp
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
2/5
L20
40%
2/5
SZN
40%
2/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
Samari Howard
ARMYvsFAU
PASS
Sat 12:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
2.60
+160
flat23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
32%
win
-5.0pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
1/5
L20
20%
1/5
SZN
20%
1/5
H2H
-
ACC
-
AJ Johnson
FAU@ARMY
PASS
Sat 12:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
4.90
+390
+10cSteam23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
25%
win
+5.0pp
L5
50%
2/4
L10
50%
2/4
L20
50%
2/4
SZN
50%
2/4
H2H
-
ACC
-
Branden Hoch
FAU@ARMY
PASS
Sat 12:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
5.25
+425
flat23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
11%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/3
L10
0%
0/3
L20
0%
0/3
SZN
0%
0/3
H2H
-
ACC
-
Brady Anderson
ARMYvsFAU
PASS
Sat 12:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
6.50
+550
flat23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
19%
win
+2.1pp
L5
20%
1/5
L10
29%
2/7
L20
29%
2/7
SZN
29%
2/7
H2H
-
ACC
-
RJ Garcia II
FAU@ARMY
PASS
Sat 12:00 PM ETAnytime TD 0.5
DK
6.50
+550
flat23 pulls
YES
0.5
NO
0.5
8%
win
-5.0pp
L5
0%
0/3
L10
0%
0/3
L20
0%
0/3
SZN
0%
0/3
H2H
-
ACC
-