CFB · 8:00 PM ET

Washington @ Purdue

Cards

Top Alpha Score

PRESS

Sharp source

Model

Prediction markets

Kalshi · the market's prices, not ours · refreshed every 2 min

Moneyline

Team	Wins	Fair price
WASH	72%	1.40
PUR	29%	3.51

Total points · market line 62.5

Line	Over	Fair	Under	Fair
54.5	84%	1.20	17%	6.06
55.5	76%	1.32	25%	4.08
59.5	63%	1.60	38%	2.67
62.5	51%	1.98	50%	2.02
65.5	37%	2.70	63%	1.59
68.5	33%	3.08	68%	1.48
71.5	22%	4.65	79%	1.27

Spread: wins by more than

Team	By	Chance	Fair
WASH	1.5	70%	1.44
WASH	2.5	68%	1.48
WASH	3.5	57%	1.74
WASH	4.5	55%	1.83
PUR	1.5	24%	4.26
PUR	2.5	22%	4.55
PUR	3.5	15%	6.90
PUR	4.5	14%	7.41

Range calculator

Total lands overand underpoints

74% chance, by the market. Fair price 1.35: any price above that is positive EV, if the market is right. Built as two contracts, over 54.5 and under 77.5.

Passing TDs

Ryan Browne

PURvsWASH

LEAN

8:00 PM ET

Passing TDs 1.5

1.76

-132

-4c39 pulls

OVER

1.5

UNDER

1.5

59%

win

+5.0pp

80%

4/5

L10

67%

4/6

L20

67%

4/6

SZN

67%

4/6

H2H

ACC

Receptions

Chris Lawson

WASH@PUR

WATCH

8:00 PM ET

Receptions 3.5

1.70

-142

-6c39 pulls

OVER

3.5

UNDER

3.5

59%

win

+3.5pp

60%

3/5

L10

67%

4/6

L20

67%

4/6

SZN

67%

4/6

H2H

ACC

Dezmen Roebuck

WASH@PUR

PASS

8:00 PM ET

Receptions 5.5

1.85

-118

-4c39 pulls

OVER

5.5

UNDER

5.5

56%

win

+5.0pp

80%

4/5

L10

83%

5/6

L20

83%

5/6

SZN

83%

5/6

H2H

ACC

Chauncey Magwood

PURvsWASH

PASS

8:00 PM ET

Receptions 2.5

2.20

+120

-2c39 pulls

OVER

2.5

UNDER

2.5

49%

win

+5.0pp

40%

2/5

L10

50%

3/6

L20

50%

3/6

SZN

50%

3/6

H2H

ACC

Anytime TD

Fame Ijeboi

PURvsWASH

WATCH

8:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

1.40

-250

-40cFade39 pulls

YES

0.5

70%

win

+5.0pp

60%

3/5

L10

67%

4/6

L20

67%

4/6

SZN

67%

4/6

H2H

ACC

Brian Bonner Jr.

WASH@PUR

PASS

8:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

2.20

+120

+5c39 pulls

YES

0.5

36%

win

-5.0pp

0/5

L10

0/5

L20

0/5

SZN

0/5

H2H

ACC

Dezmen Roebuck

WASH@PUR

PASS

8:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

2.45

+145

-10cFade39 pulls

YES

0.5

40%

win

+1.3pp

40%

2/5

L10

33%

2/6

L20

33%

2/6

SZN

33%

2/6

H2H

ACC

Show 13 more Anytime TD

Chris Lawson

WASH@PUR

PASS

8:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

3.40

+240

flat39 pulls

YES

0.5

22%

win

-5.0pp

40%

2/5

L10

33%

2/6

L20

33%

2/6

SZN

33%

2/6

H2H

ACC

Chauncey Magwood

PURvsWASH

PASS

8:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

3.75

+275

+5c39 pulls

YES

0.5

18%

win

-5.0pp

0/5

L10

17%

1/6

L20

17%

1/6

SZN

17%

1/6

H2H

ACC

Trey Cooley

WASH@PUR

PASS

8:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

4.10

+310

-10cFade39 pulls

YES

0.5

19%

win

-5.0pp

0/5

L10

0/5

L20

0/5

SZN

0/5

H2H

ACC

Ryan Browne

PURvsWASH

PASS

8:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

4.10

+310

+40cSteam39 pulls

YES

0.5

24%

win

+2.2pp

20%

1/5

L10

17%

1/6

L20

17%

1/6

SZN

17%

1/6

H2H

ACC

Antonio Harris

PURvsWASH

PASS

8:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

5.30

+430

-30cFade39 pulls

YES

0.5

20%

win

+2.8pp

20%

1/5

L10

20%

1/5

L20

20%

1/5

SZN

20%

1/5

H2H

ACC

Jordan Clay

WASH@PUR

PASS

8:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

5.50

+450

-10cFade39 pulls

YES

0.5

21%

win

+5.0pp

33%

1/3

L10

33%

1/3

L20

33%

1/3

SZN

33%

1/3

H2H

ACC

Baron Naone

WASH@PUR

PASS

8:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

5.60

+460

-10cFade39 pulls

YES

0.5

23%

win

+5.0pp

40%

2/5

L10

33%

2/6

L20

33%

2/6

SZN

33%

2/6

H2H

ACC

Decker DeGraaf

WASH@PUR

PASS

8:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

5.80

+480

-20cFade39 pulls

YES

0.5

19%

win

+3.6pp

20%

1/5

L10

17%

1/6

L20

17%

1/6

SZN

17%

1/6

H2H

ACC

De'Nylon Morrissette

PURvsWASH

PASS

8:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

6.00

+500

flat39 pulls

YES

0.5

14%

win

-2.0pp

25%

1/4

L10

25%

1/4

L20

25%

1/4

SZN

25%

1/4

H2H

ACC

George Burhenn

PURvsWASH

PASS

8:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

8.00

+700

-50cFade39 pulls

YES

0.5

16%

win

+5.0pp

40%

2/5

L10

40%

2/5

L20

40%

2/5

SZN

40%

2/5

H2H

ACC

Jerrick Gibson

PURvsWASH

PASS

8:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

6.00

+500

+50cSteam39 pulls

YES

0.5

11%

win

-5.0pp

0/5

L10

0/5

L20

0/5

SZN

0/5

H2H

ACC

Trez Davis

WASH@PUR

PASS

8:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

5.50

+450

flat39 pulls

YES

0.5

22%

win

+5.0pp

33%

1/3

L10

33%

1/3

L20

33%

1/3

SZN

33%

1/3

H2H

ACC

Mason James

WASH@PUR

PASS

8:00 PM ET

Anytime TD 0.5

7.00

+600

flat39 pulls

YES

0.5

17%

win

+5.0pp

33%

1/3

L10

33%

1/3

L20

33%

1/3

SZN

33%

1/3

H2H

ACC

Passing Yards

Ryan Browne

PURvsWASH

PASS

8:00 PM ET

Passing Yards 238.5

1.89

-112

-2c39 pulls

OVER

238.5

UNDER

238.5

55%

win

+5.0pp

40%

2/5

L10

33%

2/6

L20

33%

2/6

SZN

33%

2/6

H2H

ACC

Rushing Yards

Brian Bonner Jr.

WASH@PUR

PASS

8:00 PM ET

Rushing Yards 55.5

1.89

-112

-2c39 pulls

OVER

55.5

UNDER

55.5

55%

win

+5.0pp

60%

3/5

L10

60%

3/5

L20

60%

3/5

SZN

60%

3/5

H2H

ACC

Ryan Browne

PURvsWASH

PASS

8:00 PM ET

Rushing Yards 9.5

1.89

-112

-2c39 pulls

OVER

9.5

UNDER

9.5

54%

win

+4.4pp

20%

1/5

L10

17%

1/6

L20

17%

1/6

SZN

17%

1/6

H2H

ACC

Fame Ijeboi

PURvsWASH

PASS

8:00 PM ET

Rushing Yards 93.5

1.89

-112

-6c -2 lineFade39 pulls

OVER

93.5

UNDER

93.5

51%

win

+0.8pp

40%

2/5

L10

33%

2/6

L20

33%

2/6

SZN

33%

2/6

H2H

ACC

Receiving Yards

Chris Lawson

WASH@PUR

PASS

8:00 PM ET

Receiving Yards 51.5

1.89

-112

-2c +5 lineSteam39 pulls

OVER

51.5

UNDER

51.5

55%

win

+5.0pp

60%

3/5

L10

67%

4/6

L20

67%

4/6

SZN

67%

4/6

H2H

ACC

Chauncey Magwood

PURvsWASH

PASS

8:00 PM ET

Receiving Yards 36.5

1.89

-112

-2c39 pulls

OVER

36.5

UNDER

36.5

55%

win

+5.0pp

60%

3/5

L10

67%

4/6

L20

67%

4/6

SZN

67%

4/6

H2H

ACC

Dezmen Roebuck

WASH@PUR

PASS

8:00 PM ET

Receiving Yards 61.5

1.86

-116

-2c39 pulls

OVER

61.5

UNDER

61.5

53%

win

+2.2pp

60%

3/5

L10

67%

4/6

L20

67%

4/6

SZN

67%

4/6

H2H

ACC